← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

ETH is consolidating near a key support level as funding rates flip negative. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 18% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 6080 notional short on ETH. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2304 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.95
Max margin is 18% of $3200 = $576; at 4x leverage that allows $2304 notional, so a $6080 short exceeds both limits and is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.6
Max margin = 18% of $3200 = $576; at 4x leverage that allows $2304 notional. A $6080 short exceeds this, so it is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
Notional 6080 exceeds max notional allowed by margin rule (max margin 576 implies max notional 2304 at 4x leverage).
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
Max margin per position is 18% of $3200 = $576. With max 4x leverage, max notional = 4 * 576 = $2304. Proposed $6080 exceeds this.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested $6080 notional violates the hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity, which limits the maximum notional to $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2304 err=72.2%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested $6080 notional is non-compliant. While the provided house rules would allow up to $2304 (18% margin at 4x), the strict hard rules never to be broken cap a single position's notional at 20% of equity, which is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2304 err=72.2%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
Max margin = 18% × $3200 = $576. At 4x leverage, max notional = 4 × $576 = $2304. The proposed $6080 notional requires ~10.6x leverage and exceeds the $2304 notional cap, so it is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0
Max margin per position is 18% of $3200 = $576. At the 4x leverage cap, max notional = $576 × 4 = $2304. The proposed $6080 notional would require $6080/4 = $1520 margin (47.5% of equity), violating the 18% margin cap, so the order is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.95
The requested $6080 notional is not compliant. Under the stricter mandate limit, a single position may not exceed 20% of $3200 equity, so maximum notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2304 err=72.2%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.99
The proposed $6080 notional is not compliant. Under the stricter trading mandate, a single position may not exceed 20% of $3200 equity, so maximum notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2304 err=72.2%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
The proposed $6,080 notional requires at least $1,520 margin at max 4x leverage, which exceeds the 18% equity cap of $576. Maximum compliant notional is $576 × 4 = $2,304.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
The proposed 6080 notional is not compliant; based on the given house rules, the maximum margin is 18% of $3200 ($576), which at 4x leverage yields a max notional of $2304.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.9
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.9
6080 notional requires 1520 margin at 4x; 18% of 3200 equity allows only 576 margin so max notional is 2304.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
A 6080 notional short requires 1520 margin at 4x leverage, which is 47.5% of equity, exceeding the 18% margin limit. The maximum allowable notional is 2304 (3200 * 0.18 * 4).
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
A 6080 notional short on ETH is not compliant. The maximum allowable notional given the margin constraint is $2304.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✗ fail
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 5760confidence 1
Max margin is 18% of $3200 = $576; at 4x leverage, max notional = $576 × 4 = $2304, which is less than $6080, so not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=5760 exp=2304 err=150.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
Max margin per position is 18% of $3200 = $576. At 4x leverage, max notional = $576 × 4 = $2304. Proposed $6080 far exceeds this, so not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%