← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

HYPE is ripping after a token unlock got delayed, and traders are piling into leverage. Given: account equity $3275. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 6059 notional short on HYPE. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2882 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage max notional = $2882, well below the requested $6059, so not compliant. Also, shorting into a leverage-fueled rip is counter-trend with no clear edge.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage that's $2882 max notional. The proposed $6059 short exceeds this, so it's non-compliant; also shorting a coin that's ripping with crowded leverage offers no clear edge.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
With equity $3275, max margin 22% = $720.5, and max leverage 4x, the max notional is $720.5 * 4 = $2882. Requested $6059 notional requires margin $1514.75 > $720.5, so non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0
Notional of 6059 requires $1514.75 margin at 4x leverage, exceeding the 22% cap of $720.50. Max notional allowed is $2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The requested notional of 6059 violates the hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity ($655), which strictly overrides the looser hypothetical house rules.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The requested notional of 6059 is not compliant. Per the hard rules that must never be broken, a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity, capping the maximum notional at 655 regardless of other suggested house rules.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.99
Max margin per position is 22% of $3275 = $720.50; with 4x leverage that caps notional at 4 * 720.50 = $2882. The desired $6059 notional exceeds this limit, so it is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
At max 4x leverage, a $6059 notional requires $1514.75 margin, which exceeds the 22% equity cap of $720.50. Max allowable notional = 0.22 × $3275 × 4 = $2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 0.99
The proposed $6059 notional exceeds the stricter mandate cap of 20% of $3275 equity. Maximum allowable notional is $655, so the trade is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
Not compliant under the stricter mandate: single-position notional is capped at 20% of $3275, so maximum notional is $655; the requested $6059 exceeds this.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✗ fail
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 0
My hard rules strictly cap position notional at 20% of equity ($655) and leverage at 3x, overriding the stated house rules; the proposed 6059 notional exceeds this limit.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
The proposed 6059 notional is non-compliant; the maximum notional is 2882, calculated as 22% of 3275 equity (720.5 margin) multiplied by the 4x max leverage.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2878confidence 0.9
22% of 3275 equity allows 719.5 margin; 4x leverage caps notional at 2878.
⊢ maxNotional=2878 exp=2882 err=0.1%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2878confidence 0
⊢ maxNotional=2878 exp=2882 err=0.1%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2883confidence 1
The proposed 6059 notional short requires margin of 1514.75 (at 4x leverage), which is 46.25% of equity, exceeding the 22% margin limit. The maximum notional allowed is 22% of equity times max leverage = 0.22 * 3275 * 4 = 2883.
⊢ maxNotional=2883 exp=2882 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
The 6059 notional short exceeds the maximum allowed notional of $2,882 (22% margin commitment × 4x leverage = 88% of equity, but position notional is limited to 22% × equity = $720.50 margin, and max notional = margin × leverage = $720.50 × 4 = $2,882).
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
Max margin is 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage the max notional is $2882, which is below the requested $6059.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.8
Max margin is 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage the max notional is $2882, well below the requested $6059.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%