← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders are squaring up positions on HYPE as the clock winds down to the inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on HYPE, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window for high-impact data; stand aside and reassess after the print regardless of the setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window; no matter how clean the setup, the rule forbids entry. Wait for the print and re-assess.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0.95
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data event. Even a clean setup must be passed on; standing aside preserves capital and avoids unnecessary event risk.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
CPI release in 17 minutes, no new positions allowed within 30 minutes of high-impact data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact data release (CPI) is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact events.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is scheduled in 17 minutes, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of a major data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0.92
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is inside the 30-minute blackout window. Per mandate, no new positions may be opened; standing aside until at least 30 minutes post-release regardless of how clean the setup looks.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away — must stand aside and reassess post-print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 1
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release. With the event 17 minutes away, stand aside despite the setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release; with 17 minutes remaining, stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of high-impact release; 17 min remains.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
Hard rule violation: No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. Stand flat and wait for the CPI print to pass.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitsize 0.15sizePct 0.1entry 6.8invalidation 6.52takeProfit 7.36leverage 3riskPct 0.8compliant truemaxNotional 6.8rr 2confidence 0.9
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away — standing aside until the release clears.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait