← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders are squaring up ahead of the looming inflation print as HYPE drifts on thin liquidity. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on HYPE, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window before high-impact data. No matter how clean the setup, the rule forbids entry; wait for the print and re-evaluate.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window; thin liquidity adds slippage and gap risk. Stand aside until after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the 30-minute no-trade window before scheduled data. Standing aside is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; no new positions allowed within 30 minutes. Standing aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is scheduled in 17 minutes, which violates the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of major data releases.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which strictly violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI prints in 17 minutes, so opening now is non-compliant regardless of setup quality. Stand aside and reassess after the release and the resulting liquidity event.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes out, so standing aside is mandatory regardless of how clean the setup looks.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Stand aside because the CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window for high-impact data. Thin liquidity also increases slippage and event risk.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.98
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release, and the event is only 17 minutes away. Thin liquidity also increases slippage and stop-run risk, so the correct decision is to stand aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 1
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
CPI release 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI data release is scheduled within the 30-minute no-trade window, so no new position should be opened regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI print is only 17 minutes away, regardless of how clean the setup appears.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the mandatory 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data. Must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the mandatory 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data. Hard rule violation to enter now; standing flat is the only compliant action.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat