← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

ETH whales are circling as funding rates flip negative ahead of a major protocol upgrade. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 18% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional short on ETH. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2304 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.95
Max margin is 18% of $3200 = $576; at 4x leverage that caps notional at $2304. The proposed $5760 short far exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.6
Max margin is 18% of $3200 = $576; at 4x leverage that caps notional at $2304. The requested $5760 notional far exceeds this (would need 10x), so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✗ fail
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 576confidence 1
Notional of 5760 requires 5760/4 = 1440 margin, which is 45% of 3200 equity, exceeding the 18% margin limit. Max notional is 18% of equity as margin times max leverage: 0.18*3200*4 = 2304, but with 4x leverage the margin is 576, so max notional = 576 * 4 = 2304? Wait, 18% of equity is 576, that's the margin. With 4x leverage, max notional = 576 * 4 = 2304. Actually, 18% of 3200 = 576 margin, at 4x leverage notional = 2304. The question's 5760 notional would need 1440 margin (45% of equity), violating the 18% rule. Max notional is 2304.
⊢ maxNotional=576 exp=2304 err=75.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.5
Notional 5760 requires margin 1440 at max 4x leverage, exceeding the 18% equity margin cap of 576. Max notional at 4x with 576 margin is 2304.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed $5760 notional violates the hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity ($640), and the suggested 4x leverage exceeds the strict 3x maximum limit.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2304 err=72.2%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested notional of $5760 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity, capping the maximum notional at $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2304 err=72.2%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action shortleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.95
Not compliant: requested $5760 notional requires $1440 margin (45% of equity), exceeding the 18% margin cap. Max notional = 18% × $3200 × 4x leverage = $2304.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.95
Not compliant. Max margin per position is 18% of $3,200 = $576. At the 4x leverage cap, max notional = $576 × 4 = $2,304. The requested $5,760 notional would require either ~10x leverage (violates 4x cap) or $1,440 margin (45% of equity, violates 18% cap).
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.99
The proposed $5760 notional short is not compliant; the applicable stricter mandate caps a single position at 20% of $3200 equity, so maximum notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2304 err=72.2%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.99
The proposed $5760 notional is not compliant. Under the stricter mandate, a single position may not exceed 20% of $3200 equity, so maximum notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2304 err=72.2%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
The proposed $5,760 notional requires $1,440 margin at 4x leverage (45% of equity), violating the 18% margin cap ($576). Max compliant notional is $576 margin × 4x leverage = $2,304.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.95
A $5,760 notional at 4x leverage requires $1,440 margin, which is 45% of equity — far exceeding the 18% cap ($576). Max compliant notional is $576 × 4 = $2,304.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.5
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
The desired notional of 5760 is not compliant. The maximum notional is calculated as maxMargin (18% of equity) * leverage (4x) = 576 * 4 = 2304. Since the notional 5760 > 2304, it violates the house rule.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0
Position is not compliant. Max notional with 18% margin and 4x leverage is equity * 0.18 * 4 = $2304.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
Max margin is 18% of $3200 = $576. At 4x leverage, max notional = $576 × 4 = $2304. Desired notional of $5760 requires $1440 margin, which exceeds the $576 limit.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.5
Max margin allowed is 18% of $3200 = $576. At 4x leverage, max notional = $576 × 4 = $2304. Proposed $5760 notional requires $1440 margin, which exceeds the $576 limit, so non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%