← FUNDSARENAR5 Reward:Risk Threshold · system_schedule · live

SOL is coiling near 74.64 after a sharp bounce, with bulls eyeing continuation. Given: long SOL — entry 74.64, stop 71.28, target 83.88. You only take trades with reward:risk at least 2. Can you take this trade? Return `rr` and your `action` (long if you take it, flat if you skip).

P&L leak: Taking sub-2 reward:risk trades → negative expectancy over many trades.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "rr": 2.749999999999999, "canTrade": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p5_rr", "params": { "rrTol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 74.64invalidation 71.28takeProfit 83.88rr 2.75confidence 0.6
Risk is 3.36 and reward is 9.24, giving R:R of 2.75 which exceeds the 2.0 minimum, so the trade qualifies.
⊢ rr=2.75 (exp 2.75), took=true canTrade=true
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 74.64invalidation 71.28takeProfit 83.88rr 2.75confidence 0.6
Risk is 3.36 (74.64-71.28), reward is 9.24 (83.88-74.64), giving R:R of 2.75 which exceeds the 2.0 minimum, so the trade qualifies.
⊢ rr=2.75 (exp 2.75), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.75confidence 0.9
Reward:risk is 2.75, which meets the minimum 2 requirement.
⊢ rr=2.75 (exp 2.75), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.75confidence 0.7
R:R is 2.75 (9.24 reward / 3.36 risk), exceeding the minimum 2.0, so the trade meets the criteria.
⊢ rr=2.75 (exp 2.75), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 74.64invalidation 71.28takeProfit 83.88rr 2.75confidence 0.9
The reward to risk ratio is 2.75, which satisfies the minimum requirement of 2.0, making this a valid long setup.
⊢ rr=2.75 (exp 2.75), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 74.64invalidation 71.28takeProfit 83.88rr 2.75confidence 0.9
The reward to risk ratio is 2.75, which satisfies the minimum requirement of 2.0, allowing the long trade to be taken.
⊢ rr=2.75 (exp 2.75), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 74.64invalidation 71.28takeProfit 83.88rr 2.75confidence 0.65
R:R = (83.88-74.64)/(74.64-71.28) = 9.24/3.36 ≈ 2.75, which exceeds the 2.0 minimum, so the trade qualifies on a reward:risk basis.
⊢ rr=2.75 (exp 2.75), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 74.64invalidation 71.28takeProfit 83.88rr 2.75confidence 0.62
R:R = (83.88-74.64)/(74.64-71.28) = 9.24/3.36 = 2.75, which clears the 2.0 minimum. Trade is permissible on R:R grounds, but confidence is moderate because the prompt lacks confirmation of trend strength, funding skew, or smart-money positioning — the no-edge gate cannot be fully passed from the data given.
⊢ rr=2.75 (exp 2.75), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.75confidence 0.95
Reward is 9.24 and risk is 3.36, giving an R:R of 2.75, which meets the minimum 2.0 requirement.
⊢ rr=2.75 (exp 2.75), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.75confidence 0.9
Reward is 9.24 and risk is 3.36, giving R:R of 2.75. This meets the minimum 2:1 requirement, so the trade is acceptable on R:R.
⊢ rr=2.75 (exp 2.75), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action longsizePct 0.2entry 74.64invalidation 71.28takeProfit 83.88leverage 1riskPct 0.9rr 2.75confidence 0.65
R:R of 2.75 exceeds the minimum 2.0 threshold; SOL is coiling after a sharp bounce suggesting bullish continuation. Sized at 20% notional to stay within limits, risking 0.9% of equity.
⊢ rr=2.75 (exp 2.75), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longsizePct 0.1entry 74.64invalidation 71.28takeProfit 83.88leverage 2riskPct 0.9rr 2.75confidence 0.6
R:R of 2.75 exceeds the 2.0 minimum; SOL is coiling after a sharp bounce with bullish continuation bias, sized conservatively at 20% notional (2x leverage) to keep risk under 1%.
⊢ rr=2.75 (exp 2.75), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.75confidence 0.85
RR exactly 2.75 meets the >=2 threshold so the long is valid.
⊢ rr=2.75 (exp 2.75), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.75confidence 0.8
RR=2.75 meets >=2 rule so trade qualifies.
⊢ rr=2.75 (exp 2.75), took=true canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 74.64invalidation 71.28takeProfit 83.88rr 2.76confidence 0.75
Reward-risk ratio is 2.76, meeting the minimum 2:1 threshold, with a clear continuation setup after the bounce.
⊢ rr=2.76 (exp 2.75), took=true canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatrr 2.67confidence 0
While the R:R is acceptable at 2.67, there is insufficient information on market structure, volatility, and trend strength to confirm an edge. Standing flat until a clearer signal emerges.
⊢ rr=2.67 (exp 2.75), took=false canTrade=true
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.75confidence 0.7
Reward:risk is 2.75 which exceeds the 2.0 minimum threshold, so the trade is actionable.
⊢ rr=2.75 (exp 2.75), took=true canTrade=true
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.75confidence 0.6
The reward:risk ratio is 2.75 (9.24 / 3.36), which exceeds the minimum requirement of 2.0, making the long trade valid.
⊢ rr=2.75 (exp 2.75), took=true canTrade=true