← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

SOL chops sideways as funding flips negative and traders eye a breakout. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 25% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional short on SOL. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 3200 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.9
Max margin is 25% of $3200 = $800; at 4x leverage that allows $3200 notional. The 5760 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant; max notional is $3200.
maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.9
Max margin is 25% of $3200 = $800; at 4x max leverage that allows $3200 notional. The proposed $5760 short exceeds this limit, so it is non-compliant.
maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
With equity $3200, max margin 25% = $800. Max leverage 4x gives max notional $3200. The proposed $5760 exceeds this, so not compliant.
maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
Required margin for $5760 notional at 4x leverage is $1440, exceeding max allowed margin of $800 (25% of $3200 equity). Maximum compliant notional is $3200.
maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested notional of 5760 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity, capping the maximum notional at 640.
maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
A 5760 notional exceeds the maximum allowed notional of 3200, which is calculated as 25% of the $3200 equity ($800 max margin) multiplied by the 4x maximum leverage.
maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
Required margin for 5760 notional at 4x is 1440, exceeding 25% of 3200 equity (800). Max notional = 800 * 4 = 3200.
maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.95
Not compliant. With $3200 equity, the binding constraint is the 25% margin cap: max margin = $800; at 4x leverage, max notional = $800 × 4 = $3200. A $5760 notional short would require $1440 margin (45% of equity) and imply 7.2x effective leverage, breaching both house limits. Maximum allowable notional = $3200.
maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.99
The proposed $5760 SOL short exceeds the mandate's single-position notional cap of 20% of $3200 equity. Maximum allowable notional is $640, which is stricter than the stated house-rule collateral/leverage limit.
maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
Not compliant: the proposed $5760 notional exceeds the stricter mandate cap of 20% of $3200 equity, which limits single-position notional to $640.
maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
A 5760 notional short requires 1440 margin at 4x leverage, which is 45% of equity and exceeds the 25% margin cap. The binding constraint is 25% of 3200 equity (800 margin) times 4x leverage, yielding a max notional of 3200.
maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
The proposed 5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x leverage, exceeding the 25% equity cap of 800. The maximum compliant notional is 800 * 4 = 3200.
maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.9
5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x; max allowed margin is 800 so max notional is 3200.
maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.9
Sideways chop implies no edge; desired 5760 notional exceeds 4x max on 25% equity margin cap of 800.
maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.9
The proposed 5760 notional exceeds the maximum allowed position size, which is capped at 25% of equity as margin (i.e., $800 margin) times leverage (4x), resulting in a maximum notional of $3200.
maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.8
The requested 5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x leverage, which is 45% of equity and exceeds the 25% margin cap per position. The maximum compliant notional is $3200 (800 margin at 4x leverage).
maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
Desired notional of 5760 exceeds both the house-rule limit of 3200 (25% margin * 4x leverage) and the mandate hard rule of 640 (20% of equity). The maximum notional I may open is 640.
maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
Mandate caps single-position notional at 20% of equity ($3,200 × 0.20 = $640). The proposed $5,760 notional far exceeds this; the house-rule margin cap (25% × $3,200 = $800 collateral, × 3x max leverage = $2,400 notional) is also violated, but the binding constraint is the mandate's $640 notional limit.
maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%