← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders square up SOL positions as the clock ticks down to the inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on SOL, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout", "params": null }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window for high-impact data. Stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute high-impact blackout window; no new positions allowed regardless of setup quality. Wait for the print to clear and reassess.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data; must stand flat.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute no-trade window for high-impact data. Standing aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact data release (CPI) is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release; CPI prints in 17 minutes, so I must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so opening now would violate the mandate. Stand aside and reassess after the print and a clean post-event structure forms.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Survival first; wait for the event risk to pass and reassess after volatility normalizes.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0.98
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release; with 17 minutes remaining, the setup is untradeable regardless of appearance. Stand aside until after the print and spreads/volatility normalize.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, so I must stand aside until after the CPI print.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
CPI release 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window regardless of setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 1
The high-impact CPI release is only 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. Stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: 17 minutes until high-impact CPI release is within the 30-minute blackout window. No new positions allowed regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which falls within the 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data. No new positions allowed regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat