← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

ETH desks are throttling risk as the clock ticks toward the inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on ETH, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data. Stand aside and reassess after the print.
blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute high-impact blackout, so no new positions regardless of setup quality; wait for the print and post-release stabilization.
blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release. The print is 17 minutes away, must stand aside.
blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule forbids new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because opening a position within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release like CPI strictly violates the hard risk rules.
blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, well inside the 30-minute no-new-positions blackout window. Standing aside per mandate; will reassess after the print and once post-release volatility settles.
blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release. With 17 minutes to the print, opening now is non-compliant regardless of setup quality. Stand aside and reassess after the release and a short cooldown.
blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. The setup is invalidated by event-risk rules regardless of chart quality.
blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window. Even a clean setup is not tradable under the mandate; avoid event-risk slippage and reassess after the print.
blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release in 17 min; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI print is 17 minutes away.
blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
Hard rule violated: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The inflation print is 17 minutes away; regardless of setup quality, this is a mandatory stand-aside.
blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing flat regardless of setup quality.
blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule breach: 17 minutes is within the 30-minute no-trade window before a high-impact CPI release. Stand aside until the data clears.
blackout active, action=wait