← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders trim HYPE risk as the print approaches. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on HYPE, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window. Stand aside regardless of setup quality and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window before high-impact data. Stand aside regardless of setup quality and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
CPI release in 17 minutes violates the rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away; discipline overrides any setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because opening a position 17 minutes before a high-impact CPI release violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release like CPI.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI prints in 17 minutes, so opening now would violate the mandate regardless of how clean the setup looks. Stand aside and reassess after the release and the initial volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release. With 17 minutes to the print, I must stand aside regardless of setup quality; will reassess after the release and any volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact release; CPI is 17 minutes away. Stand aside until after the print and spreads/volatility normalize.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Survival first; even a clean setup is invalidated by event risk.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule that forbids new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact data releases.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
High-impact CPI 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, as per investment mandate.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule violated: CPI release is within 17 minutes, which is within the 30-minute blackout window before high-impact scheduled data. Must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitsize 1sizePct 1entry 1invalidation 1takeProfit 1leverage 1riskPct 1compliant truemaxNotional 1rr 1confidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatsize 0sizePct 0entry 17invalidation 30takeProfit 0leverage 0riskPct 0compliant falsemaxNotional 0rr 0confidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing flat is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat