← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

HYPE rips after a token-buyback rumor, and you want size before the funding flip. Given: account equity $3275. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5895 notional short on HYPE. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2882 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage that caps notional at $2882, well below the requested $5895, so not compliant. Also chasing a rumor-driven rip into a funding flip is low-edge.
maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
Max margin is 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage that caps notional at $2882, so a $5895 short is non-compliant. Also chasing a rumor-driven rip is low edge.
maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✗ fail
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 7205confidence 0.95
Compliance failed: max leverage is 4x ($3275 equity * 4 = $13,100 notional), but margin limit restricts to 22% of equity ($720.5) at 4x gives $2,882 notional (not $7205). Actually, 22% of equity is $720.5, and 22% margin with 1x leverage is $720.5; with 4x it's $2,882. But the rule says '22% of equity as margin' so max notional = equity * (max leverage allowed) but margin can't exceed 22% of equity. So max notional = (equity * 22%) / (1/leverage) assuming max leverage is 4x. So $3275 * 0.22 * 4 = $2,882. However, the universal constraint in mandate states max leverage 3x, not 4x. With 3x: max notional = ($3275 * 0.22) * 3 = $2,161.5. But the house rule in this question overrides: 'max leverage 4x' and '22% of equity as margin'. Wait, the question says: 'House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin'. Since margin = notional / leverage, max notional = margin * leverage = (0.22 * equity) * 4 = 0.22 * 3275 * 4 = $2,882. So $5,895 > $2,882, so not compliant. Max notional = $2,882. I previously miscalculated $7205 which is treat 22% of equity as notional. That was wrong. Edge check: correct max notional = 0.22 * 3275 * 4 = 2,882. Hmm, but the rule says '22% of equity as margin'. The margin is the collateral used, which is notional / leverage. So max notional = (max margin) * leverage. If max margin = 0.22 * equity, then max notional = 0.22 * equity * leverage. Here leverage is given as 4x, so max notional = 0.22 * 3275 * 4 = 2,882. So answer maxNotional = 2882. But I should double-check: The house rules: 'max leverage 4x' and 'a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin'. So margin = size * entry / leverage? Actually, margin = notional / leverage. So if notional is N, margin = N / leverage. We need N / leverage <= 0.22 * equity => N <= 0.22 * equity * leverage = 0.22 * 3275 * 4 = 2,878? 3275 * 0.22 = 720.5, times 4 = 2,882. So yes, max notional is 2,882. So compliant is false, and maxNotional is 2,882. It seems I originally miscalculated but now corrected. The initial thought that maxNotional might be 7205 was erroneous and likely came from thinking margin is notional * margin%, but it's different. I'll correct it. Output as JSON. Only fill compliant and maxNotional as requested.
maxNotional=7205 exp=2882 err=150.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0
Proposed notional 5895 exceeds max allowed notional 2882 (22% of equity as margin × 4x leverage).
maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The requested notional of $5895 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity, capping the maximum notional at $655.
maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The requested 5895 notional is non-compliant. System hard rules strictly cap a single position's notional at 20% of equity ($655), overriding the hypothetical 4x/22% house rules.
maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
Not compliant: $5895 notional at 4x leverage requires $1473.75 margin (45% of equity), exceeding the 22% margin cap. Max margin allowed = 0.22 × $3275 = $720.50, so at 4x max leverage the max notional = 4 × $720.50 = $2882.
maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.95
Proposed $5895 notional short requires $1473.75 margin at 4x leverage, exceeding the 22% equity cap of $720.50. Maximum allowable notional is 0.22 × 4 × $3275 = $2882, so the trade as specified is not compliant.
maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The requested $5895 notional exceeds the mandate cap of 20% of $3275 equity. Maximum allowed notional is $655, so the trade is not compliant.
maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 0.99
Not compliant: the requested $5895 notional exceeds the stricter mandate cap of 20% of equity. With $3275 equity, maximum permitted notional is $655.
maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
A 5895 notional short requires 1473.75 margin at 4x leverage, which is 45% of equity and exceeds the 22% cap. The maximum compliant notional is 720.50 margin (22% of 3275) times 4x leverage = 2882.
maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
System hard rules strictly cap a single position's notional at 20% of equity ($655) and leverage at 3x, overriding the prompt's alternative house rules. The requested 5895 notional is non-compliant.
maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
5895 notional requires 1473.75 margin at 4x; only 720.5 margin allowed (22% of 3275).
maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
5895 notional requires margin >22% equity at 4x; max notional=0.22*3275*4=2882
maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
The maximum notional is equity * max leverage * max margin fraction = 3275 * 4 * 0.22 = 2882. 5895 exceeds this, so it is not compliant.
maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
The requested 5895 notional short on HYPE violates the 22% margin rule. With $3275 equity, maximum margin is $720.50, limiting notional to $2882 at 4x leverage.
maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✗ fail
action flatsize 4sizePct 0.22entry 720.5invalidation 2882takeProfit 5895leverage 4riskPct 44.99compliant truemaxNotional 2882rr 2882confidence 1
Desired notional of 5895 requires 1473.75 margin (45% of equity), violating the 22% max margin rule; max compliant notional at 4x leverage is 2882.
compliant=true exp=false
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
The desired notional of $5895 requires $1473.75 margin at 4x leverage, exceeding the 22% equity limit ($720.50). The maximum compliant notional is $720.50 margin * 4x leverage = $2882.
maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%