← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

ETH chops sideways as desks square up ahead of the inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on ETH, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data; stand aside and reassess after the print regardless of the setup.
blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window; the setup must wait until after the print to avoid event-driven slippage and whipsaw.
blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. Standing aside is mandatory regardless of the setup.
blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 1
CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute blackout rule; no new positions allowed.
blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of major data. The market is also chopping sideways, offering no edge.
blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release. With 17 minutes to the print, opening now is non-compliant regardless of setup quality. Stand aside and reassess post-release once volatility normalizes and a clean invalidation level can be set.
blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release. With 17 minutes to the print, I must stand aside regardless of setup quality; post-release volatility and gap risk make this a clear wait.
blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.98
Stand aside because the high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Sideways chop ahead of the print also reduces edge.
blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.99
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release, and ETH is chopping sideways. Stand aside despite the setup and wait for post-release price discovery.
blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: the high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is inside the mandatory 30-minute blackout period for opening new positions.
blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI print is only 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
CPI print is 17 minutes away, violating the 30-minute blackout rule for high-impact scheduled data. No trade.
blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the mandatory 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data. Hard rule prohibits new positions regardless of setup quality.
blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
Hard rule breach: CPI is 17 minutes away, well within the 30-minute blackout window before high-impact releases. Additionally, choppy price action offers no edge. Standing flat is mandatory.
blackout active, action=flat