← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

ETH chops sideways as funding rates flip negative ahead of a major protocol upgrade. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 18% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional short on ETH. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2304 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.95
Max margin = 18% of $3200 = $576; at 4x leverage that allows $2304 notional. The requested $5760 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.9
Max margin = 18% of $3200 = $576; at 4x leverage max notional = $2304. The proposed $5760 short exceeds this, so it is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
Notional 5760 requires 1440 margin at 4x leverage, exceeding the 18% max margin of 576. Max notional is 2304 (576 * 4).
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.5
Margin required ($1440) exceeds 18% of equity ($576), so not compliant. Max notional limited to $2304.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested notional of $5760 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of account equity, capping the maximum allowed notional at $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2304 err=72.2%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested $5760 notional exceeds the scenario's $2304 limit (18% margin at 4x) and strictly violates my hard rule capping notional at 20% of equity ($640).
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2304 err=72.2%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
Max margin allowed is 18% of $3200 = $576. At the 4x leverage cap, max notional = $576 × 4 = $2304. The proposed $5760 notional would require $1440 margin (45% of equity), violating the 18% margin rule.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
Not compliant: required margin for $5760 notional at max 4x leverage is $1440, exceeding the 18% margin cap of $576. Max notional = 4x × $576 = $2304.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.99
The requested $5760 notional is not compliant. Under the stated house rules alone the cap is $2304, but the mandate's stricter 20% single-position notional cap limits maximum notional to $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2304 err=72.2%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.99
Not compliant: the requested $5760 notional exceeds the stricter mandate cap of 20% of $3200 equity, which limits notional to $640. Separately, the stated house margin/leverage limit would allow only $2304, so the trade is non-compliant under either constraint.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2304 err=72.2%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
The proposed $5,760 notional requires $1,440 margin at 4x leverage, which is 45% of equity — far exceeding the 18% margin cap. Max margin is $576 (18% of $3,200), yielding a max notional of $2,304 at 4x leverage.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0
The proposed 5760 notional short is not compliant; the maximum allowed notional is 2304, calculated by multiplying the 18% equity margin limit (576) by the 4x maximum leverage.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.9
5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x lev, exceeding 18% equity cap of 576; max notional therefore 2304.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.9
Sideways chop = no edge, stand flat. 5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x but max margin allowed is 576 so non-compliant; max notional therefore 2304.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
The proposed 5760 notional short requires a margin of 1440 (5760/4), which is 45% of equity, exceeding the 18% limit. The maximum allowable notional at 4x leverage with 18% margin is 3200 * 0.18 * 4 = 2304.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
The proposed 5760 notional exceeds the maximum allowed notional of 2304 (18% of 3200 equity * 4x leverage).
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
The maximum margin allowed is 18% of $3200 ($576). At 4x leverage, the maximum notional position is $576 * 4 = $2304, making a $5760 notional non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.85
Max margin allowed is 18% of $3200 = $576. At 4x leverage, max notional = $576 × 4 = $2304. Desired $5760 notional requires $1440 margin, which exceeds the $576 limit, so not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%