← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders trim positions as the clock ticks toward a market-moving inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on BTC, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
CPI is 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window for high-impact releases; stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window before high-impact data; stand aside and reassess after the print regardless of how clean the setup looks.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute no-trade rule before high-impact data. Standing aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so opening now is a direct violation regardless of setup quality. Stand flat until after the release and volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of major data releases.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, well inside the 30-minute pre-news blackout window. Standing aside is mandatory regardless of how clean the setup looks; volatility and slippage around the print make any entry non-compliant with the risk mandate.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release. With 17 minutes to print, opening now is prohibited regardless of setup quality. Stand aside and reassess post-release.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Survival first; wait until after the release and spreads/volatility normalize.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Preserving capital and avoiding event-risk slippage overrides any clean setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: the 30-minute blackout window for high-impact data releases prohibits new entries, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI is 17 min away; rule forbids new positions inside the 30-min window regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI print is 17 minutes away—stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: cannot open a position within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. 17 minutes is well inside the blackout window. Stand flat until after the CPI print.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. 17 minutes is well inside the blackout window; standing flat is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat