← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Crypto desks are trimming exposure as the CPI print looms over a jittery BTC tape. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on BTC, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout", "params": null }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data; stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data; stand aside regardless of setup and reassess after the print and volatility settle.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release; CPI print is 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of high-impact data release. CPI release in 17 minutes, standing flat.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 1
CPI is 17 minutes away, well inside the 30-minute no-new-positions blackout window; standing aside per mandate regardless of how clean the setup looks.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so opening now would violate the mandate. Stand aside and reassess after the print and the initial volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 1
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release. Stand aside until after the event risk clears and price action stabilizes.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Survival first; avoid opening into event-driven volatility despite the clean setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so we must stand aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away; rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI in 17 min; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled release.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release (CPI). The setup is invalid regardless of its quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: must not open a position within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away; standing aside is the only compliant action.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which falls within the mandatory 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data. Hard rule prohibits new positions; must stand aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat