← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

SOL is coiling near range highs as desks square up ahead of the inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on SOL, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window for high-impact data; stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute high-impact blackout window. No new positions regardless of setup quality; wait for the print and let volatility resolve.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so must stand aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute blackout rule for high-impact data. No new positions allowed.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, strictly violating the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of major data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI fires in 17 minutes, well inside the blackout window. Standing aside regardless of setup quality; will reassess after the print and a settle window.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0.95
Hard rule prohibits opening any new position within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release; CPI fires in 17 minutes, so standing aside is mandatory regardless of how clean the setup looks.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0.99
Stand aside because the high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. A clean setup does not override the event-risk rule.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Even with a clean setup, event risk overrides the signal.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so we must stand aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release (CPI in 17 mins). Surviving volatility spikes and whipsaws is priority; wait for the event to pass and re-evaluate the setup post-release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitsize 2.9sizePct 0.05entry 172.5invalidation 168takeProfit 181.5leverage 3riskPct 0.88compliant truemaxNotional 17250rr 2confidence 0.85
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand flat despite the clean setup. Will re-evaluate after the print and volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which falls within the 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data; rule prohibits new positions regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait