← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

A scalper eyes a quick BTC long after a sharp dip, but the desk just tightened risk rules. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 15% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional long on BTC. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 1920 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action longleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.95
Max margin = 15% of $3200 = $480; at 4x leverage that caps notional at $1920. The desired $5760 notional needs $1440 margin (45% of equity), exceeding the 15% limit.
maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.95
Max margin = 15% of $3200 = $480; at 4x leverage max notional = $1920. The desired $5760 notional exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Max compliant notional given 15% margin limit and 4x leverage is 4 * 480 = $1920, but proposed notional is $5760 which requires 45% margin.
maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0
With 4x max leverage, 5760 notional requires 1440 margin, exceeding the 15% equity limit of 480. Max notional allowed is 480 * 4 = 1920.
maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested 5760 notional violates the desk's limit of 1920 (15% margin at 4x leverage) and strictly violates my hard rule capping any single position's notional at 20% of equity ($640).
maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed $5760 notional exceeds the desk's 15% margin limit and violates my hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity ($640).
maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.99
Proposed $5760 notional at 4x leverage requires $1440 margin, exceeding the 15% equity cap of $480. Maximum allowable notional = 0.15 × $3200 × 4 = $1920.
maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
$5760 notional requires $1440 margin at 4x leverage, exceeding the 15% equity cap of $480. Binding constraint is margin: max margin = 0.15 * $3200 = $480, so max notional at 4x = $480 * 4 = $1920.
maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.99
The requested $5760 notional is not compliant: house rules cap notional at $3200 * 15% * 4 = $1920, and the stricter mandate caps single-position notional at 20% of equity = $640. Therefore the maximum permissible notional is $640.
maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed $5760 notional is not compliant. House rules allow up to $1920 notional, but the stricter mandate caps a single position at 20% of equity, so the maximum permissible notional is $640.
maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
The desired $5,760 notional requires $1,440 margin at 4x leverage, which exceeds the 15% equity cap of $480. The binding constraint is margin: $480 max collateral × 4x max leverage = $1,920 maximum notional.
maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
The $5,760 notional requires $1,440 margin at 4x leverage, which exceeds the 15% equity cap of $480. Max notional is $480 margin × 4x leverage = $1,920.
maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action longcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0
maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0
maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
The proposed 5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x leverage, which is 45% of equity—far exceeding the 15% margin cap. The maximum compliant notional is 3200 * 0.15 * 4 = 1920.
maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
The 5760 notional exceeds the maximum allowed. Margin committed cannot exceed 15% of equity ($480), and with max 4x leverage, max notional is $480 * 4 = $1920.
maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
The desired notional of $5760 exceeds the maximum allowed notional of $1920, which is calculated as 15% of $3200 equity ($480 margin) times the 4x max leverage.
maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.9
Max margin allowed is 15% of $3200 = $480. At 4x leverage, max notional = $480 × 4 = $1920. Desired $5760 far exceeds this, so not compliant.
maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%