← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

ETH desks are squaring up as the macro print looms over crypto risk appetite. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on ETH, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute high-impact blackout; no new positions regardless of setup quality. Wait for the print and re-evaluate.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute high-impact blackout window. No new positions allowed regardless of setup quality; wait for the print and volatility to settle.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release (CPI in 17 minutes). Standing aside until the release passes.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: CPI is a high-impact release in 17 minutes. Standing flat is mandatory regardless of the perceived setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is scheduled in 17 minutes, which violates the hard rule of taking no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of taking no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI prints in 17 minutes, so opening now is non-compliant regardless of setup quality. Stand aside and reassess after the release and initial volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of how clean the setup looks. Will reassess after the print and the initial volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0.99
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release. With the print 17 minutes away, stand aside despite the setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.98
High-impact CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Stand aside until after the release and spreads/volatility normalize.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: opening a position 17 minutes before a high-impact CPI release breaches the strict 30-minute blackout window. Standing aside until the macro event passes.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI 17 min away; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled macro releases.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
The high-impact CPI data release is in 17 minutes, which is within the 30-minute blackout period. I must stand aside and wait for the data to release and the initial volatility to settle before reassessing.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: High-impact CPI release is in 17 minutes, which is within the 30-minute pre-data blackout window. No positions can be opened regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.5
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing flat is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait