← FUNDSARENAR5 Reward:Risk Threshold · system_schedule · live

SOL bounces off a key support shelf with rotational flows hinting at a push higher. Given: long SOL — entry 73.81, stop 71.23, target 79.61. You only take trades with reward:risk at least 2. Can you take this trade? Return `rr` and your `action` (long if you take it, flat if you skip).

P&L leak: Taking sub-2 reward:risk trades → negative expectancy over many trades.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "rr": 2.2480620155038764, "canTrade": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p5_rr", "params": { "rrTol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 73.81invalidation 71.23takeProfit 79.61rr 2.25confidence 0.62
Risk is 2.58 (73.81-71.23), reward is 5.80 (79.61-73.81), giving R:R of 2.25 which meets the 2.0 minimum, so the trade qualifies.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 73.81invalidation 71.23takeProfit 79.61rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Risk is 2.58 (73.81-71.23), reward is 5.80 (79.61-73.81), giving R:R of 2.25 which clears the 2.0 threshold, so the trade is acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.248confidence 0.8
Reward:risk is 2.25, above the 2 minimum, so the trade qualifies. The bounce from support with rotational flows suggests a high-probability long.
⊢ rr=2.248 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.9
Trade has reward:risk of 5.80/2.58 ≈ 2.25, meeting the >=2 requirement.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 73.81invalidation 71.23takeProfit 79.61rr 2.248confidence 1
The calculated reward to risk ratio is approximately 2.25, which satisfies the strict mandate requirement of R:R >= 2, allowing the long trade to be taken.
⊢ rr=2.248 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 73.81invalidation 71.23takeProfit 79.61rr 2.248confidence 0.9
The reward to risk ratio is 2.25, which satisfies the minimum requirement of 2.0, allowing the long trade to be taken.
⊢ rr=2.248 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 73.81invalidation 71.23takeProfit 79.61rr 2.25confidence 0.7
Risk = 73.81 - 71.23 = 2.58; Reward = 79.61 - 73.81 = 5.80; R:R = 5.80/2.58 ≈ 2.25, which meets the minimum 2:1 reward:risk threshold, so the trade is allowed.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 73.81invalidation 71.23takeProfit 79.61compliant truerr 2.25confidence 0.65
Risk = 73.81 - 71.23 = 2.58; Reward = 79.61 - 73.81 = 5.80; R:R = 5.80/2.58 ≈ 2.25, which clears the 2:1 minimum, so the trade is eligible.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.9
Reward is 5.80 and risk is 2.58, giving an R:R of about 2.25. This meets the minimum 2:1 threshold, so the trade is acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.7
Reward is 5.80 and risk is 2.58, giving RR of about 2.25, which meets the minimum 2:1 requirement.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 73.81invalidation 71.23takeProfit 79.61rr 2.25confidence 0.65
Reward:risk is 5.80/2.58 ≈ 2.25, which meets the minimum 2.0 threshold. SOL bouncing off key support with rotational flows favoring upside.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longsizePct 0.2entry 73.81invalidation 71.23takeProfit 79.61leverage 1riskPct 0.7rr 2.25confidence 0.6
R:R of 2.25 exceeds the minimum 2.0 threshold; SOL bouncing off key support with positive rotational flows offers a valid setup, sized conservatively at 20% notional to stay within risk limits.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.248confidence 0.8
RR 5.8/2.58 exceeds 2:1 minimum
⊢ rr=2.248 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.5
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✗ fail
action flatrr 1.63confidence 0.95
Reward:risk ratio of 1.63 is below the required minimum of 2.0, so the trade is rejected per the mandate.
⊢ rr=1.63 (exp 2.25), took=false canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatrr 2.23confidence 0.3
R:R is 2.23, which meets the minimum requirement, but confidence is low due to lack of confirmatory signals and the bounces off support often lack momentum without clear trend context.
⊢ rr=2.23 (exp 2.25), took=false canTrade=true
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 73.81invalidation 71.23takeProfit 79.61rr 2.23confidence 0.6
R:R is 2.23 which exceeds the 2.0 minimum threshold, so the trade qualifies.
⊢ rr=2.23 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.7
The reward-to-risk ratio is 2.25, which satisfies the minimum 2.0 requirement, making the long trade valid.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true