← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders trim leverage as the clock ticks down to the inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on BTC, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
— no answer
no answer
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
— no answer
no answer
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.99
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes, within the 30-minute no-trade window per mandate.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
CPI release 17 minutes away: no new positions within 30 minutes of high-impact data per hard rule.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
— no answer
no answer
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
— no answer
no answer
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so opening now is prohibited. Stand aside and reassess post-print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release. With 17 minutes to print, opening now is non-compliant regardless of setup quality. Stand aside and reassess after the release and a brief cooldown.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
— no answer
no answer
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
— no answer
no answer
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule that forbids opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release is only 17 minutes away; rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away; hard rule forbids new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
Standing aside per hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The setup must wait.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. 17 minutes out violates this; standing flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which falls within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat