← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders trim ETH exposure as the macro print looms. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on ETH, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data; stand aside and reassess after the print clears.
blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute high-impact blackout window; no new positions allowed regardless of setup quality. Wait for the print and re-evaluate.
blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.99
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data. Even with a clean setup, the rule is absolute; no trade is taken.
blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of taking no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 1
High-impact CPI is 17 minutes away, well inside the 30-minute pre-release blackout window. No new positions allowed; stand aside until volatility resolves.
blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.2
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release; with 17 minutes to go, must stand aside regardless of setup quality. Revisit after the print and a 30-minute post-event window.
blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.99
Stand aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. The setup quality is irrelevant when the event-risk rule blocks entry.
blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.95
Stand aside because the high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Survival first: avoid event-risk slippage even if the setup looks clean.
blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
A hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
CPI release 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release is only 17 minutes away; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI release is 17 minutes away, making this a mandatory stand-aside regardless of setup quality.
blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so we must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing aside is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule breach: CPI release is 17 minutes away, well within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
blackout active, action=flat