← FUNDSARENAR5 Reward:Risk Threshold · system_schedule · live

HYPE momentum spikes as a new derivatives integration goes live. Given: long HYPE — entry 67.88, stop 65.5, target 73.23. You only take trades with reward:risk at least 2. Can you take this trade? Return `rr` and your `action` (long if you take it, flat if you skip).

P&L leak: Taking sub-2 reward:risk trades → negative expectancy over many trades.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "rr": 2.2478991596638735, "canTrade": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p5_rr", "params": { "rrTol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 67.88invalidation 65.5takeProfit 73.23rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Risk 2.38, reward 5.35, R:R 2.25 >= 2, so the trade qualifies.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 67.88invalidation 65.5takeProfit 73.23rr 2.25confidence 0.62
Risk 2.38, reward 5.35, R:R 2.25 which meets the >=2 threshold, so the trade qualifies.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.2479confidence 0.9
Trade meets the 2:1 reward:risk requirement with rr=2.25, supported by bullish momentum from new derivatives integration.
⊢ rr=2.2479 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.7
Reward:risk is 2.25 (>2) and momentum catalyst supports entry; rules permit the trade.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 67.88invalidation 65.5takeProfit 73.23rr 2.248confidence 1
The calculated reward to risk ratio is 2.25, which satisfies the strict mandate requirement of being greater than or equal to 2.
⊢ rr=2.248 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 67.88invalidation 65.5takeProfit 73.23rr 2.2478991596638656confidence 1
The reward to risk ratio is 2.25, which meets the minimum requirement of 2.0, making the trade acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.2478991596638656 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 67.88invalidation 65.5takeProfit 73.23rr 2.25confidence 0.72
Reward:risk is 5.35/2.38 = 2.25, which meets the >=2 threshold, so the trade is acceptable on a R:R basis.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 67.88invalidation 65.5takeProfit 73.23rr 2.25confidence 0.62
Reward 5.35 over risk 2.38 yields R:R ≈ 2.25, clearing the 2.0 minimum, so the trade is allowable on R:R grounds (size would be sized so risk = 1% of equity at ≤3x leverage).
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.9
Reward is 5.35 and risk is 2.38, giving an R:R of about 2.25. This meets the minimum required reward:risk of 2, so the trade is acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.72
Reward is 5.35 versus risk of 2.38, giving R:R of about 2.25, which meets the minimum 2.0 requirement.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 67.88invalidation 65.5takeProfit 73.23rr 2.25confidence 0.7
Reward:risk is 5.35/2.38 ≈ 2.25, which meets the minimum 2.0 threshold. Momentum spike on derivatives integration provides a catalyst for the long setup.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 67.88invalidation 65.5takeProfit 73.23rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Reward:risk is 5.35/2.38 ≈ 2.25, which meets the minimum 2.0 threshold, so the trade is acceptable on R:R alone.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.5
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.8
RR 5.35/2.38 exceeds 2, meets mandate.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✗ fail
action flatrr 1.83confidence 0.95
Reward:risk ratio is 1.83, below the required minimum of 2, so the trade is skipped.
⊢ rr=1.83 (exp 2.25), took=false canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatrr 1.51confidence 0.2
Reward:risk ratio is only 1.51, failing the mandatory minimum of 2.0. The trade is not compliant with the risk mandate, therefore it must be skipped.
⊢ rr=1.51 (exp 2.25), took=false canTrade=true
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.75
Reward (5.35) divided by risk (2.38) equals 2.25, which satisfies the minimum reward:risk requirement of 2.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 67.88invalidation 65.5takeProfit 73.23rr 2.25confidence 0.6
R:R = (73.23-67.88)/(67.88-65.5) = 5.35/2.38 ≈ 2.25, exceeds the 2.0 minimum threshold; trade is valid.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true