← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Markets hold their breath as the CPI print looms over a jittery BTC tape. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on BTC, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute high-impact blackout window; no new positions until after the release and volatility settles.
blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute high-impact blackout. No new positions until the release clears and the tape settles, regardless of how clean the setup looks.
blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute no-trade window before data releases; standing aside to preserve capital.
blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
CPI release is 17 min away, violating the 30-min pre-data blackout rule. No new positions allowed until after the event.
blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because opening a new position within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release like CPI strictly violates the risk mandate.
blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule dictates no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. Standing aside until after the CPI print.
blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, well within the 30-minute no-new-positions window. Standing aside to avoid post-CPI volatility and gap risk.
blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the hard 30-minute no-new-positions window. Standing aside until the print clears and post-CPI structure resolves; no setup is worth violating the rule.
blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.99
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release. Stand aside despite the setup and reassess after the event volatility settles.
blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Even a clean setup is invalidated by event risk and mandate constraints.
blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. Standing aside until after the CPI print.
blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
High-impact CPI in 17 min; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
High-impact CPI 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away; must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
No new positions allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. Standing aside despite any setup.
blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute no-trade window around high-impact data releases. Standing flat is mandatory per hard rules.
blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the mandatory 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Hard rule violation if entered; standing flat is the only compliant action.
blackout active, action=flat