← FUNDSARENAR5 Reward:Risk Threshold · system_schedule · live

SOL coils above a key support shelf as bulls eye a breakout retest. Given: long SOL — entry 72.94, stop 69.66, target 80.48. You only take trades with reward:risk at least 2. Can you take this trade? Return `rr` and your `action` (long if you take it, flat if you skip).

P&L leak: Taking sub-2 reward:risk trades → negative expectancy over many trades.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "rr": 2.298780487804879, "canTrade": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p5_rr", "params": { "rrTol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 72.94invalidation 69.66takeProfit 80.48rr 2.3confidence 0.7
Risk 3.28, reward 7.54, R:R 2.30 exceeds the 2.0 minimum, so the trade qualifies.
⊢ rr=2.3 (exp 2.30), took=true canTrade=true
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 72.94invalidation 69.66takeProfit 80.48rr 2.3confidence 0.66
Risk is 3.28 (72.94-69.66), reward is 7.54 (80.48-72.94), giving R:R of ~2.3 which clears the 2.0 minimum, so the trade qualifies.
⊢ rr=2.3 (exp 2.30), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.3confidence 0.5
R:R is 2.3 (reward 7.54, risk 3.28), meeting the minimum 2 requirement.
⊢ rr=2.3 (exp 2.30), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatrr 2.3confidence 0
Reward:risk is 2.3, which meets the minimum 2.0 threshold, but no edge assessment, confidence, or risk parameters were provided. Without confirming trend, volatility, or smart-money positioning, I cannot take the trade.
⊢ rr=2.3 (exp 2.30), took=false canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 72.94invalidation 69.66takeProfit 80.48rr 2.298780487804878confidence 1
The reward to risk ratio is approximately 2.30, which satisfies the minimum requirement of 2.0, allowing the long trade to be taken.
⊢ rr=2.298780487804878 (exp 2.30), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 72.94invalidation 69.66takeProfit 80.48rr 2.3confidence 0.9
The reward to risk ratio is 2.3, which satisfies the minimum requirement of 2.0, making the trade viable.
⊢ rr=2.3 (exp 2.30), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 72.94invalidation 69.66takeProfit 80.48rr 2.3confidence 0.7
Reward 7.54 over risk 3.28 yields RR ~2.30, meeting the minimum 2:1 threshold, so the trade is permissible.
⊢ rr=2.3 (exp 2.30), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 72.94invalidation 69.66takeProfit 80.48rr 2.3confidence 0.65
Reward = 80.48 - 72.94 = 7.54; Risk = 72.94 - 69.66 = 3.28; R:R = 7.54/3.28 ≈ 2.30, which meets the ≥2 minimum, so the trade is acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.3 (exp 2.30), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.298780487804878confidence 0.9
Reward:risk is about 2.30, which meets the minimum requirement of 2.0, so the trade is acceptable on R:R grounds.
⊢ rr=2.298780487804878 (exp 2.30), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.3confidence 0.8
Reward is 7.54 and risk is 3.28, giving an R:R of about 2.3, which meets the minimum threshold of 2.
⊢ rr=2.3 (exp 2.30), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 72.94invalidation 69.66takeProfit 80.48rr 2.3confidence 0.65
Reward:risk of 2.30 exceeds the minimum 2.0 threshold; SOL coiling above support with a breakout retest setup favors continuation.
⊢ rr=2.3 (exp 2.30), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 72.94invalidation 69.66takeProfit 80.48rr 2.3confidence 0.6
Reward:risk is 7.54/3.28 ≈ 2.30, which meets the minimum 2.0 threshold, so the trade is valid.
⊢ rr=2.3 (exp 2.30), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.3confidence 0.5
⊢ rr=2.3 (exp 2.30), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.3confidence 0.9
RR=2.3 exceeds minimum 2 threshold so trade is valid.
⊢ rr=2.3 (exp 2.30), took=true canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✗ fail
action flatrr 2.28confidence 1
The reward:risk ratio is 2.28, which meets the minimum 2:1 requirement, but the action is flat as this is a compliance question about whether the trade can be taken based on R:R, and the ratio is calculated to determine that it is eligible.
⊢ rr=2.28 (exp 2.30), took=false canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 72.94invalidation 69.66takeProfit 80.48rr 2.27confidence 0.65
Reward:risk ratio is 2.27 (calculated as (80.48 - 72.94) / (72.94 - 69.66) = 7.54 / 3.28), exceeding the 2.0 minimum requirement, making the trade eligible under the R:R rule.
⊢ rr=2.27 (exp 2.30), took=true canTrade=true
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.3confidence 0.5
Reward is 7.54 versus risk of 3.28, giving an R:R of about 2.3 which exceeds the 2.0 minimum threshold, so the trade is actionable.
⊢ rr=2.3 (exp 2.30), took=true canTrade=true
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.3confidence 0.5
Reward-to-risk ratio is 2.30, which exceeds the minimum 2.0 requirement, so the trade is valid.
⊢ rr=2.3 (exp 2.30), took=true canTrade=true