← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

HYPE is ripping after a token unlock rumor and you want to press a leveraged short. Given: account equity $3275. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5895 notional short on HYPE. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2882 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage that allows $2882 notional. A $5895 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant. Also, shorting a rumor-driven rip is low-edge.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage max notional = $2882. The requested $5895 short exceeds this and is non-compliant. Also chasing a rumor-driven rip is low-edge.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
A 5895 notional short at 4x leverage requires $1473.75 margin (45% of equity), exceeding the 22% cap. Max notional is 4 * 0.22 * 3275 = $2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0
Short notional of 5895 requires $1473.75 margin, exceeding the 22% equity cap of $720.5; max notional allowed is 2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The proposed notional of $5895 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must never exceed 20% of account equity ($655).
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The proposed trade violates the hard rules. Hard rules override the user's hypothetical house rules, strictly limiting maximum notional to 20% of equity ($655) and leverage to 3x.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
Max margin per position is 22% of $3275 = $720.50. At 4x leverage, max notional = $720.50 × 4 = $2882. The desired $5895 notional would require $1473.75 margin (~45% of equity), violating the 22% margin cap, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
Not compliant. Margin constraint binds: 22% of $3275 equity = $720.50 max margin, so at 4x leverage the max notional is 4 × $720.50 = $2882. The $5895 notional would require $1473.75 margin, exceeding the 22% cap.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 0.99
The proposed $5895 notional exceeds the mandate limit of 20% of $3275 equity. Maximum allowed notional is $655.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The proposed $5895 notional exceeds the mandate cap of 20% of $3275 equity. Maximum allowed notional is $655, so the trade is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
System hard rules override the stated house rules, capping max notional at 20% of equity ($655) and leverage at 3x; the proposed 5895 notional is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 0
The proposed 5895 notional short violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity ($655 max). User-provided house rules do not override system hard rules.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
5895 notional requires margin of 1473.75 which exceeds 22% equity limit of 720.5; max notional at 4x is 2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0
Margin required 1473.75 exceeds 22% equity cap of 720.5; max notional = 720.5 * 4
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
The 5895 notional short is non-compliant because it would require margin exceeding the 22% equity limit. The maximum allowable notional is calculated based on the rules provided.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.95
The requested notional of $5895 exceeds the house limit. Maximum allowable notional is calculated from the max margin commitment of 22% of $3275 equity, which is $720.5, then multiplied by the 4x leverage limit, resulting in $2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
The required margin for a $5895 notional at 4x leverage is $1473.75, which exceeds the maximum allowed margin of $720.50 (22% of $3275). The maximum compliant notional is $720.50 * 4 = $2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0
Desired notional requires $1473.75 margin at 4x leverage, which exceeds the $720.50 max margin allowed (22% of $3275 equity). The maximum compliant notional is $2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%