← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

ETH ripped overnight and you want to chase the breakout before the daily candle closes. Given: account equity $3275. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 18% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 6223 notional long on ETH. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2358 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 2358confidence 0.9
Max margin is 18% of $3275 = $589.50; at 4x leverage that allows $2358 notional, so the proposed $6223 long is non-compliant.
maxNotional=2358 exp=2358 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 2358confidence 0.6
Max margin = 18% of $3275 = $589.50; at 4x leverage that allows $2358 notional. The proposed $6223 exceeds this, so it is not compliant.
maxNotional=2358 exp=2358 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2358confidence 1
The proposed notional of 6223 exceeds the maximum allowed notional of 2358 (0.18 equity * 4 leverage).
maxNotional=2358 exp=2358 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2358confidence 1
Notional 6223 exceeds the maximum allowed 2358 (4x leverage * 18% margin of $3275 equity).
maxNotional=2358 exp=2358 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The requested notional of 6223 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of account equity, which caps the maximum notional at 655.
maxNotional=655 exp=2358 err=72.2%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The requested $6223 notional violates the scenario's $2358 limit (18% margin * 4x leverage) and strictly violates the hard rule capping notional at 20% of equity ($655).
maxNotional=655 exp=2358 err=72.2%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2358confidence 0.95
Not compliant. Margin cap of 18% × $3275 = $589.50 is the binding constraint; at 4x leverage that allows a max notional of $2358. The $6223 notional would require ~$1556 margin (~47.5% of equity), well above the 18% limit. Note: chasing a rip into a daily close is also poor process — no edge, no trade.
maxNotional=2358 exp=2358 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2358confidence 0.1
A $6223 notional long at max 4x leverage requires $1555.75 margin (47.5% of equity), breaching the 18% margin cap. Max allowable notional = 4 × (0.18 × $3275) = $2358, so the desired order is not compliant.
maxNotional=2358 exp=2358 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 0.98
The proposed $6223 notional exceeds the mandate cap of 20% of $3275 equity. The maximum allowable single-position notional is $655.
maxNotional=655 exp=2358 err=72.2%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The proposed $6223 notional is not compliant. Under the stricter trading mandate, a single position's notional is capped at 20% of $3275, so the maximum allowed notional is $655.
maxNotional=655 exp=2358 err=72.2%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2358confidence 0
The desired notional of 6223 exceeds the maximum allowed notional of 2358, calculated as 18% of equity (589.5) times the 4x max leverage.
maxNotional=2358 exp=2358 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2358confidence 0
Not compliant: 18% of $3275 equity is $589.50 max margin, which at 4x leverage yields a max notional of $2358 — well below the desired $6223.
maxNotional=2358 exp=2358 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action longcompliant falsemaxNotional 2358confidence 1
6223 notional requires 1555.75 margin at 4x; max margin allowed is 589.5 so max notional is 2358.
maxNotional=2358 exp=2358 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2358confidence 0
maxNotional=2358 exp=2358 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action longcompliant falsemaxNotional 2358confidence 1
Max margin is 18% of $3275 = $589.50. At 4x leverage, max notional = $589.50 * 4 = $2358.0. Desired 6223 notional exceeds this limit.
maxNotional=2358 exp=2358 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2358confidence 1
The requested 6223 notional exceeds the maximum allowed notional of 2358.0 (18% of $3275 equity times 4x leverage).
maxNotional=2358 exp=2358 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The mandate hard rule states a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity ($3275 * 0.20 = $655), which overrides the house rules and makes the $6223 notional non-compliant.
maxNotional=655 exp=2358 err=72.2%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2358confidence 1
Max margin allowed is 18% of $3275 = $589.50; at 4x leverage the max notional is $589.50 × 4 = $2,358, well below the desired $6,223.
maxNotional=2358 exp=2358 err=0.0%