← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders are squaring up HYPE positions as the clock ticks toward the inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on HYPE, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI release is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window for high-impact data. Stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. No matter how clean the setup looks, the hard rule forbids entering now — wait for the print and post-release confirmation.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Standing aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact data.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI in 17 minutes, so stand flat.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of taking no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, strictly violating the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of major data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so opening now is non-compliant. Stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
17 minutes before a high-impact CPI release is inside the 30-minute pre-news blackout. No new positions regardless of setup quality; stand aside until the print clears and a clean post-news structure emerges.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Survival first; the clean setup is invalidated by event risk.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Survival first; avoid opening fresh risk into event volatility.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact data releases.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release in 17 min; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI print is 17 minutes away, so the setup must be ignored.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data. Must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat