← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders are squaring up positions on HYPE as the inflation print looms. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on HYPE, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data; standing aside despite the clean setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before a high-impact release; stand aside and reassess after the print regardless of how clean the setup looks.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of high-impact data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 1
CPI release in 17 minutes triggers 30-minute no-new-trade rule; standing aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of taking no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, well inside the 30-minute blackout window. The mandate prohibits opening new positions ahead of scheduled high-impact data regardless of setup quality, so I stand aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falseconfidence 0
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so a new position is prohibited regardless of how clean the setup looks. Standing aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 1
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release. Stand aside despite the setup and reassess after the event risk passes.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Survival first; avoid event risk even if the setup looks clean.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, so I must stand aside until after the CPI print.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release is only 17 minutes away; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release is a hard rule. Stand aside until the event passes and volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The setup must wait until after the CPI print resolves and volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing flat is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat