← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

ETH is consolidating near a key support level after a volatile week of macro news. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional short on ETH. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2816 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.9
Margin cap is 22% of $3200 = $704; at max 4x leverage that allows up to $2816 notional, so the requested $5760 short is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3200 = $704; at 4x max leverage that allows $2816 notional. The proposed $5760 notional exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
The proposed notional of 5760 exceeds the maximum allowed notional of 2816 (22% margin of $704 at 4x leverage).
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Notional 5760 needs 1440 margin (45% equity) > 22% limit. Max notional is $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed notional of $5760 violates the hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity ($640), overriding any conflicting house rules.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested 5760 notional violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must never exceed 20% of account equity, capping the maximum notional at 640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Proposed notional $5760 requires $1440 margin at 4x leverage, exceeding the 22% equity cap of $704 (and implying ~8.2x effective leverage). The binding constraint is the 22% margin cap, giving a max notional of 0.22 × $3200 × 4 = $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Not compliant: $5760 notional requires $1440 margin at 4x leverage, which exceeds the 22% margin cap of $704 (0.22 × $3200). Max notional = $704 margin × 4x leverage = $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.99
The proposed $5760 notional short is not compliant. Under the stricter mandate limit, a single position may not exceed 20% of $3200 equity, so maximum notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
Not compliant: the requested $5760 notional exceeds the mandate cap of 20% of $3200 equity. Maximum allowable notional is $640, which is stricter than the house-rule margin/leverage limit.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
Non-compliant because the hard rules strictly cap a single position's notional at 20% of account equity ($640), overriding the stated house rules.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Max margin is 22% of $3,200 = $704; at 4x leverage the maximum notional is $704 × 4 = $2,816. The proposed $5,760 notional exceeds this limit and is therefore non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.9
5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x; max margin allowed is 704 so max notional is 2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
The proposed 5760 notional requires a margin of 1440 (at 4x leverage), which is 45% of equity—exceeding the 22% max margin rule. The maximum notional allowed under house rules is 22% of $3200 * 4 = $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3520confidence 0.9
The proposed notional of $5760 requires margin of $1440 (at 4x leverage), which exceeds the 22% of equity limit ($704). The maximum compliant notional is $3520.
⊢ maxNotional=3520 exp=2816 err=25.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed $5760 notional violates the hard rule capping notional at 20% of equity ($640) and the house rule capping margin at 22% of equity (which allows up to $2816). The absolute maximum notional permitted under the strictest constraint is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.85
Max margin allowed is 22% of $3,200 = $704. At 4x leverage, max notional = $704 × 4 = $2,816. The requested $5,760 notional would require $1,440 margin (45% of equity), far exceeding the 22% cap.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%