← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

HYPE momentum traders are stacking leverage as the token rips on new listing buzz. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 18% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional short on HYPE. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2304 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.95
Max margin = 18% of $3200 = $576; at 4x leverage that allows $2304 notional. A $5760 short requires $1440 margin (45% of equity), so it is non-compliant.
maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.95
Max margin = 18% of $3200 = $576; at 4x max leverage that allows $2304 notional. A $5760 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
With equity $3200, max margin at 18% is $576. At 4x max leverage, max notional is $2304. A $5760 notional requires $1440 margin, violating the margin limit.
maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.5
Not compliant: notional 5760 requires margin of $1440 at max 4x leverage, exceeding the 18% equity margin cap of $576. Maximum notional with 4x leverage and 18% margin is $576 * 4 = $2304.
maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed notional of $5760 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of account equity, capping the maximum allowed notional at $640.
maxNotional=640 exp=2304 err=72.2%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
The proposed notional of $5760 exceeds the maximum allowed notional of $2304, which is calculated as 18% of equity ($576) multiplied by the maximum leverage of 4x.
maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
Max margin allowed is 18% of $3200 = $576. At the 4x leverage cap, max notional = 4 × $576 = $2304. Opening $5760 notional would require $1440 margin (10x effective leverage), violating both the 4x leverage cap and the 18% margin cap.
maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.95
At 4x max leverage, $5760 notional requires $1440 margin, exceeding the 18% equity cap of $576. Max notional = $576 × 4x = $2304.
maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed $5760 notional is not compliant. House-rule max is $2304, but the stricter mandate single-position notional cap of 20% of $3200 limits max notional to $640.
maxNotional=640 exp=2304 err=72.2%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed $5760 notional is not compliant. Under the stricter mandate, a single position may not exceed 20% of $3200 equity, so max notional is $640.
maxNotional=640 exp=2304 err=72.2%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
A $5,760 notional at max 4x leverage requires $1,440 margin (45% of equity), violating the 18% margin cap ($576). Max notional = $576 margin × 4x leverage = $2,304.
maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
A $5,760 notional at 4x leverage requires $1,440 margin (45% of equity), exceeding the 18% margin cap of $576. Max compliant notional is $576 × 4 = $2,304.
maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.9
5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x (45% equity) exceeding 18% cap; max notional is 0.18*3200*4=2304.
maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.9
5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x > 576 (18% of 3200) allowed; max notional at 4x is 2304.
maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
Max margin is 18% of $3200 equity = $576. At 4x leverage, max notional is $576 * 4 = $2304. The proposed $5760 notional exceeds this limit.
maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
The proposed 5760 notional short violates the 18% margin rule (max margin allowed is $576, requiring 5760 notional would need $1440 margin at 4x leverage). The maximum compliant notional is $2304 ($576 margin × 4x leverage).
maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
The desired notional of $5760 requires $1440 in margin at 4x leverage, which exceeds the 18% equity margin limit of $576; the maximum compliant notional is $576 * 4 = $2304.
maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatsize 5760sizePct 0.2entry 5760invalidation 5760takeProfit 5760leverage 4riskPct 1compliant truemaxNotional 640rr 2confidence 0.9
House rules allow max margin of 18%×$3200=$576 at 4x leverage = $2304 notional, but my mandate caps notional at 20% of equity = $640 and leverage at 3x, making $5760 non-compliant; max notional I may open is $640.
compliant=true exp=false