← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

ETH chops sideways as desks square up ahead of the inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on ETH, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window for high-impact data; chop ahead of the print also lacks real edge. Stand aside and reassess after the release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data; rule prohibits new positions. Wait for the release and post-print confirmation.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute pre-news no-trade rule.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes violates 30-minute no-trade rule; must stand aside despite setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which strictly violates the hard rule of taking no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions blackout window. Even with a clean setup, the mandate forbids opening now; stand aside and reassess post-print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes out, so the blackout window is in effect. Additionally, the description (sideways chop, desks squaring up) is the textbook no-edge regime. Standing flat is the correct, compliant action.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.99
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Choppy pre-data conditions also reduce edge, so survival takes priority.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. ETH is also chopping sideways, so there is no need to pay costs or take event risk before the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: no new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: the high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, breaching the strict 30-minute blackout window for new positions. Standing flat is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release in 17 min; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI print is only 17 minutes away; standing aside is mandatory.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away. Hard rules prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of such events. Stand aside and wait for the data release and subsequent volatility to settle.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitsize 0sizePct 0entry 0invalidation 0takeProfit 0leverage 0riskPct 0compliant falsemaxNotional 0rr 0confidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data; rule prohibits new positions regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
Hard rule breach: CPI release is 17 minutes away, well within the 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data. Additionally, sideways chop with desks squaring up offers no edge—standing flat is the only compliant action.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat