← FUNDSARENAR5 Reward:Risk Threshold · system_schedule · live

SOL coils above a key support shelf as volume dries up before a potential breakout. Given: long SOL — entry 74.15, stop 71.55, target 80. You only take trades with reward:risk at least 2. Can you take this trade? Return `rr` and your `action` (long if you take it, flat if you skip).

P&L leak: Taking sub-2 reward:risk trades → negative expectancy over many trades.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "rr": 2.2499999999999902, "canTrade": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p5_rr", "params": { "rrTol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 74.15invalidation 71.55takeProfit 80rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Risk is 2.60 (74.15-71.55), reward is 5.85 (80-74.15), giving R:R of 2.25 which meets the 2.0 minimum, so the trade is acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 74.15invalidation 71.55takeProfit 80rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Risk is 2.60 (74.15-71.55), reward is 5.85 (80-74.15), giving R:R 2.25 which clears the 2.0 minimum, so the trade is acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 1
Reward 5.85, risk 2.60, RR 2.25 ≥ 2, trade qualifies.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.5
Reward:risk is 2.25, meeting the >=2 requirement. Volume drying up near support suggests a breakout trade.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 74.15invalidation 71.55takeProfit 80rr 2.25confidence 0.9
The reward to risk ratio is 2.25, which satisfies the minimum requirement of 2.0, making the trade acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 74.15invalidation 71.55takeProfit 80rr 2.25confidence 0.9
The reward to risk ratio is 2.25, which satisfies the minimum requirement of 2.0, making the trade acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 74.15invalidation 71.55takeProfit 80rr 2.25confidence 0.72
Risk is 2.60 (74.15-71.55) and reward is 5.85 (80-74.15), giving R:R = 5.85/2.60 = 2.25, which exceeds the 2.0 minimum threshold, so the trade is eligible.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 74.15invalidation 71.55takeProfit 80rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Risk 2.60, reward 5.85, R:R = 2.25 which meets the >=2 minimum, so the trade is eligible on R:R grounds alone.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.75
Reward:risk is 2.25, which meets the minimum requirement of 2.0, so the trade is acceptable on R:R.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.7
Reward is 5.85 versus risk of 2.60, giving an R:R of 2.25. This meets the minimum 2:1 requirement, so the trade is acceptable on R:R grounds.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 74.15invalidation 71.55takeProfit 80rr 2.25confidence 0.6
R:R of 2.25 meets the minimum 2.0 threshold; SOL coiling above key support with declining volume suggests a bullish compression breakout setup.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.75
The setup provides a reward-to-risk ratio of 2.25, which meets the hard rule minimum of 2.0.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.5
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✗ fail
action flatrr 1.96confidence 0.95
Reward:risk ratio is 1.96 (target 80, entry 74.15, stop 71.55), which is below the required 2.0 minimum. Trade does not meet the R:R threshold, so I stay flat.
⊢ rr=1.96 (exp 2.25), took=false canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatrr 1.96confidence 0
Reward:risk is only 1.96 (5.85/2.60), which fails the minimum 2.0 requirement. Discipline requires passing on this trade.
⊢ rr=1.96 (exp 2.25), took=false canTrade=true
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.6
Risk is 2.60 (74.15 - 71.55), reward is 5.85 (80 - 74.15), giving R:R of 2.25 which exceeds the 2.0 minimum threshold, so the trade is valid.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 74.15invalidation 71.55takeProfit 80rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Reward-to-risk ratio is 2.25, exceeding the minimum threshold of 2, making the trade valid for a long entry.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true