← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders are squaring up ahead of the inflation print as BTC chops in a tight range. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on BTC, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data; clean setup or not, I stand aside until volatility resolves post-release.
blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute high-impact blackout window — no new positions allowed. Wait for the print and post-release volatility to settle before re-evaluating the setup.
blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
CPI release is in 17 minutes, violating the 30-minute no-trade rule before high-impact data.
blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
CPI release in 17 min is within the 30-min no-trade window for high-impact events. No position allowed.
blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because opening a position 17 minutes before a high-impact CPI release violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which strictly violates the hard rule of taking no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of how clean the setup looks; pre-news chop and post-news wicks make this a risk-off moment.
blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falseconfidence 0.1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so opening now is non-compliant regardless of setup quality. Stand aside and reassess after the print.
blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is only 17 minutes away, so opening a new position would violate the 30-minute event-risk rule. Stand aside until after the release and volatility stabilizes.
blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.99
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Even a clean setup is not tradable under the mandate due to event risk and likely volatility spike.
blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release; CPI is 17 minutes away.
blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
CPI release 17 min away; rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute blackout window for scheduled high-impact data releases. Regardless of setup quality, the hard rule prohibits new positions.
blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which falls within the 30-minute no-trade window before a high-impact data release. Standing flat is mandatory per hard rules.
blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule breach: CPI release is 17 minutes away, well within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Standing flat is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
blackout active, action=flat