← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

ETH consolidates near resistance as funding rates flip positive, tempting traders to size up before a breakout. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional short on ETH. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2816 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.95
Max margin = 22% of $3200 = $704; at 4x max leverage that allows $2816 notional. A $5760 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.6
Max margin = 22% of $3200 = $704; at 4x leverage max notional is $2816. The proposed $5760 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
With 22% margin cap ($704) and 4x leverage, max notional is $2816. The requested $5760 exceeds this.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.5
With equity $3200, max margin per position is 22% = $704. At max 4x leverage, max notional = $704 * 4 = $2816. Requested notional $5760 exceeds this, so not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed notional of $5760 violates the strict hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity, which limits the maximum notional to $640 regardless of looser house rules.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested $5760 notional violates both the stated house rules and my strict hard rules. Under my non-negotiable mandate, a single position's notional must never exceed 20% of equity, capping the maximum notional at $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Proposed notional $5760 exceeds the binding limit of 22% margin × 4x leverage = $704 × 4 = $2816, so the trade is non-compliant; maximum allowable notional is $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0
Max margin allowed is 22% of $3200 = $704. At 4x leverage, max notional = $704 × 4 = $2816. The requested $5760 notional would require $1440 margin (45% of equity), violating the 22% margin cap, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.99
The requested $5760 notional is not compliant; under the mandate the stricter single-position notional cap is 20% of $3200, or $640, which is below the house-rule cap of $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
Not compliant: the requested $5760 notional exceeds the stricter mandate cap of 20% of $3200 equity, which limits a single position to $640 notional.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Max margin is 22% of $3200 = $704; at 4x leverage the maximum notional is $704 × 4 = $2816, so the proposed $5760 notional exceeds the limit and is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
The proposed 5760 notional is non-compliant because at the 4x max leverage it would require 1440 in margin (45% of equity), violating the 22% margin limit. The maximum compliant notional is 2816 (22% of 3200 equity * 4x leverage).
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.9
5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x; max allowed margin is 704 so max notional is 2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
The proposed 5760 notional short is non-compliant because the maximum notional is limited by the 22% equity margin rule and 4x leverage, resulting in a max notional of $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
The requested 5760 notional short is not compliant. With 22% max margin collateral ($704) and 4x max leverage, the maximum allowable notional is $704 * 4 = $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
The required margin for a $5760 notional at 4x leverage is $1440, which exceeds the maximum allowed margin of $704 (22% of $3200); therefore, the maximum compliant notional at 4x leverage is $704 * 4 = $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Desired notional $5760 requires $1440 margin (45% of equity), exceeding the 22% margin limit. Max compliant notional = 22% × $3200 × 4x = $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%