← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders are squaring up ahead of the looming inflation print as HYPE chops sideways. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on HYPE, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window for high-impact data. Stand aside and reassess after the release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute high-impact news blackout, so no new position regardless of setup quality. Wait for the print and let volatility settle before acting.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the 30-minute pre-data blackout rule. No new positions allowed until 30 minutes after the release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
No new positions within 30 minutes of high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because opening a position within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release like CPI strictly violates the hard rules.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so any entry now would breach the mandate. Stand flat and reassess after the print clears.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release. With 17 minutes to print, opening now is non-compliant regardless of setup quality. Stand aside and reassess after the release.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.98
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release. HYPE is also chopping sideways, so there is no need to force a trade before event risk.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.98
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release, and the event is 17 minutes away. HYPE is also chopping sideways, so standing aside avoids event-risk and churn.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Standing flat because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled macroeconomic data.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
CPI release 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI 17 min away; explicit rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI print is only 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI print is 17 minutes away, making this trade non-compliant regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule breach: CPI release is 17 minutes away, well within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat