← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

HYPE is ripping after a token unlock rumor and you want size on fast. Given: account equity $3725. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 6891 notional short on HYPE. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 3278 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2455.5confidence 0.9
My hard rules cap leverage at 3x and notional at 20% of equity ($745), so $6891 is non-compliant. Even by the looser house rules (22% margin = $819.50 at 3x leverage), max notional is $2458.50; trading a rumor-driven spike with no defined stop is not an edge.
⊢ maxNotional=2455.5 exp=3278 err=25.1%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 3278confidence 0.5
Max margin = 22% of $3725 = $819.50; at 4x leverage that allows max notional ~$3278. A $6891 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3278 exp=3278 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3278confidence 1
6891 notional requires $1722.75 margin (with 4x), which is 46.2% of equity, exceeding the 22% limit. Max notional is $3278.
⊢ maxNotional=3278 exp=3278 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 819.5confidence 0
Notional 6891 exceeds the 22% equity margin cap (819.5). Trade is non-compliant; max notional allowed is $819.5.
⊢ maxNotional=819.5 exp=3278 err=75.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 745confidence 1
The requested notional of 6891 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity, capping the max notional at 745.
⊢ maxNotional=745 exp=3278 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 745confidence 1
The requested notional of 6891 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity, capping the maximum notional at 745.
⊢ maxNotional=745 exp=3278 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3278confidence 0.95
Requested $6891 notional requires $1722.75 margin at 4x leverage, exceeding the 22% equity cap of $819.50. The binding constraint is margin: max notional = 0.22 × $3725 × 4x = $3278, so the trade is non-compliant at the requested size.
⊢ maxNotional=3278 exp=3278 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3278confidence 0.5
Max margin allowed is 22% of $3725 = $819.50; at 4x leverage that caps notional at $3278, so a $6891 short requires $1722.75 of margin and is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3278 exp=3278 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 745confidence 1
The proposed $6891 short exceeds the mandate's single-position notional cap of 20% of $3725 equity. Maximum allowed notional is $745.
⊢ maxNotional=745 exp=3278 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 745confidence 0.99
Not compliant: the requested $6891 notional exceeds both the provided margin/leverage cap and the stricter mandate cap. Under the mandate, a single position's notional is limited to 20% of $3725, so maxNotional is $745.
⊢ maxNotional=745 exp=3278 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3278confidence 1
Desired 6891 notional requires 1722.75 margin (46.2% of equity) at 4x leverage, exceeding the 22% margin cap. Max margin is 819.50 (22% of 3725), yielding a max notional of 3278 at 4x.
⊢ maxNotional=3278 exp=3278 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3278confidence 1
The desired notional of 6891 exceeds the maximum allowed notional of 3278, calculated from the given house rules of 22% max margin ($819.5) and 4x max leverage.
⊢ maxNotional=3278 exp=3278 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3278confidence 0.95
22% of 3725 equity allows 819.5 margin; 4x leverage caps notional at 3278, below requested 6891.
⊢ maxNotional=3278 exp=3278 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3278confidence 0.9
6891 exceeds 4x max on 22% margin of 3725 equity
⊢ maxNotional=3278 exp=3278 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3278confidence 1
A 6891 notional short on a $3725 account requires leverage > 1.85x, but the margin committed would be 6891/4 = 1722.75 which is 46.25% of equity, exceeding the 22% margin limit. Max allowed notional is 3725 * 0.22 * 4 = 3278.
⊢ maxNotional=3278 exp=3278 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3278confidence 1
The requested notional of $6891 exceeds the maximum allowed notional of $3278 based on the 22% margin rule and $3725 equity.
⊢ maxNotional=3278 exp=3278 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3278confidence 1
Max margin is 22% of $3725 = $819.50; at 4x leverage the max notional is $3278, well below the requested $6891.
⊢ maxNotional=3278 exp=3278 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3278confidence 0.8
Max margin is 22% of $3725 = $819.50; at 4x leverage the max notional is $3278, well below the requested $6891.
⊢ maxNotional=3278 exp=3278 err=0.0%