← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders are bracing for the NFP print as HYPE chops near support. A high-impact NFP release is 17 minutes away on HYPE, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout", "params": null }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
NFP is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute high-impact blackout window; no new positions allowed regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
NFP is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window for high-impact data. Stand aside and reassess after the release regardless of how clean the setup looks.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
NFP release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data event. Standing aside is mandatory regardless of the setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
NFP release is 17 minutes away, violating the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Standing flat is the correct action.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because a high-impact data release (NFP) is scheduled in 17 minutes, which violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because a high-impact NFP release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of taking no new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
No new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. NFP is 17 minutes away, which is inside the no-trade window. Standing aside regardless of how clean the setup looks, then reassessing after the print and a brief digestion period.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact NFP release (17 min away). Volatility expansion, gap risk, and stop-hunt behavior around NFP make this a stand-aside moment regardless of how clean the setup looks. Reassess 30+ minutes post-print when price discovers a new range.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.99
Stand aside: a high-impact NFP release is 17 minutes away, and the mandate prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of such events. Choppy price action near support also does not justify overriding event risk.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact NFP release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Even a clean setup is not tradable under the mandate due to event risk and likely volatility spike.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and NFP is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release like NFP.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
NFP high-impact release is 17 minutes away; rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
High-impact NFP data release is only 17 minutes away; hard rule forbids new positions inside the 30-minute window.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. NFP is 17 minutes away; standing flat is the only compliant action.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule violation: No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. NFP is 17 minutes away, so must stand aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
NFP is a high-impact release 17 minutes away, which falls inside the 30-minute no-trade window. Standing flat is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact release. NFP is 17 minutes away—standing aside is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat