← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

A trader eyes a leveraged HYPE position as the token rallies on exchange listing buzz. Given: account equity $3750. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 6750 notional short on HYPE. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 3300 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 0.95
Max margin = 22% of $3750 = $825; at 4x leverage that caps notional at $3300. A $6750 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3750 = $825; at 4x max leverage that allows $3300 notional. The proposed $6750 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 0.99
With equity $3750, max margin is 22% of equity = $825. At max leverage 4x, max notional = $3300. Requested notional $6750 exceeds limit.
maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 0.5
With equity $3750, max margin allowed is 22% = $825. At max 4x leverage, max notional = 825 * 4 = $3300. Requested $6750 exceeds this, so not compliant.
maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 750confidence 1
The proposed notional of 6750 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity, capping the maximum notional at 750.
maxNotional=750 exp=3300 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 750confidence 1
The requested 6750 notional violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity ($750), overriding any looser house rules.
maxNotional=750 exp=3300 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 0.95
A $6750 notional short at max 4x leverage requires $1687.50 margin, which is 45% of equity — well above the 22% margin cap. Maximum allowable notional is 22% × $3750 × 4x = $3300.
maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 1
Max margin is 22% of $3750 = $825. At 4x leverage, max notional = $825 × 4 = $3300. The proposed $6750 notional requires ~$1687.50 margin (45% of equity), violating both the 22% margin cap and implying ~8.2x leverage, breaching the 4x leverage limit.
maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 750confidence 0.98
The proposed $6750 notional exceeds the mandate limit that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of $3750 equity. Maximum allowed notional is $750, so the trade is not compliant.
maxNotional=750 exp=3300 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 0.99
Not compliant: maximum allowed margin is 22% of $3750 = $825, and at 4x leverage that supports only $3300 notional. The proposed $6750 notional exceeds the limit.
maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 1
Max margin allowed is 22% of $3,750 = $825. At max leverage 4x, the maximum notional is $825 × 4 = $3,300. The desired $6,750 notional requires $1,687.50 margin, which exceeds the $825 limit, so it is not compliant.
maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 0
A 6750 notional at 4x leverage requires 1687.50 margin, exceeding the 22% equity cap of 825. Max compliant notional is 825 margin x 4x leverage = 3300.
maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 0.9
6750 notional requires 1687.5 margin at 4x; only 825 margin allowed (22% of 3750).
maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 0.9
6750 notional requires 1687.5 margin at 4x; max margin is 825 so max notional is 3300.
maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 1
A 6750 notional short on HYPE requires $1687.50 margin at 4x leverage, which is 45% of equity—exceeding the 22% margin limit. The maximum notional allowed is $3300 (22% of $3750 * 4).
maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 1
The proposed 6750 notional short requires margin that exceeds the 22% equity limit. Maximum compliant notional is $3,300 (22% of $3,750 equity * 4x leverage).
maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 1
Max margin allowed is 22% of $3750 = $825; at 4x leverage the maximum notional is $825 × 4 = $3300, well below the requested $6750.
maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 0.5
Max margin allowed is 22% of $3750 = $825. At 4x leverage, max notional = $825 × 4 = $3300. Desired notional of $6750 far exceeds this limit.
maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%