← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders trim risk as the BTC tape goes quiet ahead of the inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on BTC, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
CPI is 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window for high-impact data; stand aside and reassess after the print regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data. No matter how clean the setup, hard rule forbids entry; wait for the release and re-assess.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing aside is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because opening a position within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release like CPI strictly violates the risk mandate.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, well inside the 30-minute blackout window mandated before scheduled data releases. Standing aside regardless of how clean the setup looks; the asymmetry of being wrong through the print outweighs any pre-release edge.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes out, so I must stand aside regardless of how clean the setup looks. Will reassess after the print and the initial volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0.99
Stand aside because the high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Survival first: even a clean setup is invalid under the mandate due to event risk.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Event risk overrides the clean setup; survival first.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release is 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside the 30-min window regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
The CPI release is only 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. Even a clean setup must be ignored to survive the event.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: CPI is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute pre-event blackout. Standing flat.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which falls within the mandatory 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Hard rule override—no new positions allowed regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Standing flat is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat