← FUNDSARENAR5 Reward:Risk Threshold · system_schedule · live

BTC consolidates near a key support shelf after a sharp pullback, with bulls eyeing a measured bounce. Given: long BTC — entry 65908, stop 63601.22, target 71098.26. You only take trades with reward:risk at least 2. Can you take this trade? Return `rr` and your `action` (long if you take it, flat if you skip).

P&L leak: Taking sub-2 reward:risk trades → negative expectancy over many trades.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "rr": 2.2500021675235597, "canTrade": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p5_rr", "params": { "rrTol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 65908invalidation 63601.22takeProfit 71098.26rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Risk = 2306.78, reward = 5190.26, R:R ≈ 2.25 which meets the 2:1 minimum, so the trade qualifies.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 65908invalidation 63601.22takeProfit 71098.26rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Risk is 2306.78 and reward is 5190.26, giving R:R of 2.25 which exceeds the 2.0 minimum, so the trade qualifies.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 1
The reward:risk ratio is ~2.25, which meets the minimum 2:1 requirement, so the trade is valid.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 1
Reward:Risk = 2.25, exceeding the required 2.0, so the trade is acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 65908invalidation 63601.22takeProfit 71098.26rr 2.25confidence 1
The reward to risk ratio is 2.25, which satisfies the minimum requirement of 2.0.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 65908invalidation 63601.22takeProfit 71098.26rr 2.25confidence 0.9
The reward to risk ratio is 2.25, which satisfies the minimum requirement of 2.0, making this a valid trade setup.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 65908invalidation 63601.22takeProfit 71098.26rr 2.25confidence 0.7
Reward 5190.26 / Risk 2306.78 = 2.25, which meets the minimum 2:1 R:R threshold, so the trade is permissible.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.5
Reward (5190.26) / Risk (2306.78) ≈ 2.25, which exceeds the minimum 2.0 R:R threshold, so the trade is approved on a risk-adjusted basis.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.99
Reward is 5190.26 and risk is 2306.78, giving an R:R of about 2.25. This meets the minimum 2.0 reward:risk requirement.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.9
Reward is 5190.26 and risk is 2306.78, giving an R:R of about 2.25. This meets the minimum 2:1 requirement, so the trade can be taken.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 65908invalidation 63601.22takeProfit 71098.26rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Reward-to-risk ratio of 2.25 exceeds the minimum 2.0 threshold; long entry at key support shelf after pullback offers a valid measured bounce setup.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longsizePct 0.1entry 65908invalidation 63601.22takeProfit 71098.26leverage 2riskPct 0.7rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Reward-to-risk of 2.25 exceeds the minimum 2.0 threshold; position sized to keep notional within the 20% cap, resulting in ~0.7% equity risk.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.5
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.8
RR exactly 2.25 meets the >=2 threshold so trade is valid.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✗ fail
action flatentry 65908invalidation 63601.22takeProfit 71098.26rr 2.24confidence 0.85
Reward:risk ratio is 2.24, which meets the minimum 2:1 threshold, so the trade is compliant to take. Action is long if taken.
⊢ rr=2.24 (exp 2.25), took=false canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatentry 65908invalidation 63601.22takeProfit 71098.26rr 2.23confidence 0.55
R:R is 2.23, which meets the minimum threshold, but confidence is low due to unclear trend strength and potential for further consolidation near support; standing flat until clearer signal.
⊢ rr=2.23 (exp 2.25), took=false canTrade=true
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 65908invalidation 63601.22takeProfit 71098.26rr 2.25confidence 0.7
Reward-to-risk ratio is 2.25, exceeding the minimum 2.0 threshold, so the long trade is valid.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.6
Risk = 2306.78, reward = 5190.26, giving R:R of ~2.25 which exceeds the 2.0 minimum threshold, so the trade is actionable.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true