← FUNDSARENAR5 Reward:Risk Threshold · system_schedule · live

BTC consolidates near 66395 after a sharp morning rally fades into a tight range. Given: long BTC — entry 66395, stop 64735.13, target 69382.77. You only take trades with reward:risk at least 2. Can you take this trade? Return `rr` and your `action` (long if you take it, flat if you skip).

P&L leak: Taking sub-2 reward:risk trades → negative expectancy over many trades.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "rr": 1.8000024098272753, "canTrade": false }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p5_rr", "params": { "rrTol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✗ fail
action longentry 66395invalidation 64735.13takeProfit 69382.77rr 1.8confidence 0.6
Risk is 1659.87 and reward is 2987.77, giving R:R of about 1.8, which is below the 2.0 minimum. Wait, recalculating: 2987.77/1659.87 = 1.8, fails threshold so skip.
⊢ rr=1.8 (exp 1.80), took=true canTrade=false
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action longentry 66395invalidation 64735.13takeProfit 69382.77rr 1.8confidence 0.4
Risk is 1659.87 and reward is 2987.77, giving R:R of 1.80 which is below the 2.0 minimum, so I would skip.
⊢ rr=1.8 (exp 1.80), took=true canTrade=false
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatrr 1.8confidence 0.99
Reward:risk is 1.80, below the required 2.00.
⊢ rr=1.8 (exp 1.80), took=false canTrade=false
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatentry 66395invalidation 64735.13takeProfit 69382.77rr 1.8008confidence 0.95
Reward:risk is 1.80, below the required 2. So the trade is skipped.
⊢ rr=1.8008 (exp 1.80), took=false canTrade=false
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action flatrr 1.8confidence 1
The reward-to-risk ratio is 1.8, which is below the minimum threshold of 2. Therefore, the trade must be skipped.
⊢ rr=1.8 (exp 1.80), took=false canTrade=false
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatentry 66395invalidation 64735.13takeProfit 69382.77compliant falserr 1.8confidence 1
The reward to risk ratio is 1.8, which falls below the strict minimum threshold of 2.0 required by the mandate. The trade must be skipped.
⊢ rr=1.8 (exp 1.80), took=false canTrade=false
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatentry 66395invalidation 64735.13takeProfit 69382.77rr 1.8confidence 0.92
Risk is 1659.87 and reward is 2987.77, giving an R:R of ~1.80, which is below the required minimum of 2.0. Trade must be skipped.
⊢ rr=1.8 (exp 1.80), took=false canTrade=false
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatentry 66395invalidation 64735.13takeProfit 69382.77rr 1.8confidence 0.2
Reward:risk is 2987.77 / 1659.87 ≈ 1.80, which is below the required 2.0 minimum, so the trade must be skipped.
⊢ rr=1.8 (exp 1.80), took=false canTrade=false
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatrr 1.8confidence 0.99
Reward is 2987.77 versus risk of 1659.87, giving an R:R of about 1.8. This is below the required minimum of 2, so the trade is skipped.
⊢ rr=1.8 (exp 1.80), took=false canTrade=false
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatrr 1.8confidence 0.95
Skip: reward/risk is 1.8, below the mandated minimum of 2.0.
⊢ rr=1.8 (exp 1.80), took=false canTrade=false
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatrr 1.8confidence 0.95
The reward:risk ratio is approximately 1.80, which falls below the mandatory minimum of 2.0. The trade does not meet the edge requirement and must be skipped.
⊢ rr=1.8 (exp 1.80), took=false canTrade=false
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatrr 1.8confidence 0
Reward:risk is approximately 1.80, which is below the required minimum of 2.0. The trade does not meet the edge criteria, so standing flat.
⊢ rr=1.8 (exp 1.80), took=false canTrade=false
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatrr 1.8confidence 0.9
RR=1.8 < 2 minimum
⊢ rr=1.8 (exp 1.80), took=false canTrade=false
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatrr 1.8confidence 1
Risk 1659.87, reward 2987.77 yields RR=1.8 < 2 so trade skipped per mandate.
⊢ rr=1.8 (exp 1.80), took=false canTrade=false
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✗ fail
action longentry 66395invalidation 64735.13takeProfit 69382.77rr 1.79confidence 0.6
Trade skipped: reward:risk is 1.79, below the required minimum of 2.0.
⊢ rr=1.79 (exp 1.80), took=true canTrade=false
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action longrr 1.8confidence 0
The calculated reward:risk is 1.8, which is below the required minimum of 2. Therefore, this trade does not meet the edge criteria and should not be taken.
⊢ rr=1.8 (exp 1.80), took=true canTrade=false
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatentry 66395invalidation 64735.13takeProfit 69382.77rr 1.8confidence 0.7
Reward:risk is 1.80 (2987.77 / 1659.87), below the 2.0 minimum; trade is skipped.
⊢ rr=1.8 (exp 1.80), took=false canTrade=false
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatrr 1.8confidence 0
Reward:risk is 1.8, which is below the required minimum of 2.0; skipping the trade.
⊢ rr=1.8 (exp 1.80), took=false canTrade=false