← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders are squaring up SOL positions as the FOMC rate decision looms. A high-impact FOMC release is 17 minutes away on SOL, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
FOMC is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window for high-impact events; no matter how clean the setup, I stand aside until after the release and volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
FOMC is 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window before high-impact data. No matter how clean the setup looks, the rule forbids entry; wait for the release and let volatility settle.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
FOMC release is 17 minutes away, violating the 30-minute blackout rule for high-impact events. Must stand aside regardless of setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
High-impact FOMC release is 17 minutes away; rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because opening a position 17 minutes before a high-impact FOMC release violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because the hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release like the FOMC.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. FOMC is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. FOMC is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of how clean the setup looks.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.99
Stand aside: the FOMC release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window for high-impact data. Survival first; any clean setup is invalidated by event risk until after the release volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: the FOMC rate decision is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window for high-impact releases. Survival first; even a clean setup is invalidated by event-risk rules.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the FOMC decision is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: a high-impact FOMC release is 17 minutes away, which breaches the strict 30-minute blackout window for opening new positions.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
FOMC high-impact release 17 min away, inside 30-min no-new-position window.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
High-impact FOMC release is 17 minutes away; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
The FOMC rate decision is only 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute window before a scheduled high-impact data release. Hard rules prohibit new positions in this timeframe.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
FOMC high-impact data release is 17 minutes away, violating the 30-minute pre-release rule. Must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
FOMC is 17 minutes away, which falls within the mandatory 30-minute blackout window before high-impact releases. No new positions allowed regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
FOMC release is 17 minutes away — hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. Standing flat is mandatory.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat