← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

A volatile BTC session tempts you to scale into a leveraged short before the funding flip. Given: account equity $3850. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 7123 notional short on BTC. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 3388 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action shortleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 3388confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3850 = $847; at 4x leverage that allows $3388 notional. The requested $7123 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3388 exp=3388 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3388confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3850 = $847; at 4x leverage that allows $3388 notional, so the proposed $7123 short is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3388 exp=3388 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3388confidence 1
With max 4x leverage, a 7123 notional requires $1780.75 margin, exceeding the 22% equity cap of $847. Max notional using 4x is $3388.
⊢ maxNotional=3388 exp=3388 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3388confidence 0.9
7123 notional requires 22% of 3850 = 847 margin, but at max 4x leverage the max notional is 4 * 3850 = 15400; however the house rule limits margin to 22% of equity, so max notional = 3850 * 0.22 * 4 = 3388. The requested 7123 exceeds this.
⊢ maxNotional=3388 exp=3388 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 770confidence 1
The proposed trade violates the hard rules. A single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity ($770), overriding any conflicting user-provided house rules.
⊢ maxNotional=770 exp=3388 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 770confidence 1
The requested notional of 7123 violates the hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity ($770), which strictly overrides the conflicting house rules provided.
⊢ maxNotional=770 exp=3388 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3388confidence 0.95
At 4x leverage, a $7123 short requires $1780.75 margin, which exceeds the 22% equity cap of $847. Maximum compliant notional = $847 × 4 = $3388.
⊢ maxNotional=3388 exp=3388 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3388confidence 0.95
Proposed $7,123 notional would require $1,780.75 margin at 4x (≈46% of equity), breaching the 22% margin cap. Max notional = 0.22 × $3850 × 4 = $3,388.
⊢ maxNotional=3388 exp=3388 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 770confidence 1
Not compliant: the requested 7123 notional exceeds the stricter mandate limit of 20% of 3850 equity. Maximum allowed notional is 770.
⊢ maxNotional=770 exp=3388 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 770confidence 1
Not compliant: the requested $7123 notional exceeds the stricter mandate cap of 20% of $3850 equity. Maximum allowable notional is $770.
⊢ maxNotional=770 exp=3388 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3388confidence 1
The proposed 7123 notional is not compliant. Max margin is 22% of $3850 = $847, and at the 4x leverage cap the maximum notional is $847 × 4 = $3388.
⊢ maxNotional=3388 exp=3388 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3388confidence 1
The desired 7123 notional is not compliant; the maximum allowed notional is 3388, calculated by taking 22% of the 3850 equity (847 margin) and multiplying by the 4x max leverage.
⊢ maxNotional=3388 exp=3388 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3388confidence 0.9
7123 notional exceeds 4x leverage on 22% equity margin (847 USD) which caps notional at 3388.
⊢ maxNotional=3388 exp=3388 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3388confidence 0.9
7123 notional requires 1781 margin at 4x but max margin is 847; max notional therefore 3388.
⊢ maxNotional=3388 exp=3388 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3388confidence 1
Max margin per position is 22% of $3850 = $847. With 4x leverage, max notional is $847 * 4 = $3388. The requested 7123 notional exceeds this limit, so it is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3388 exp=3388 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3388confidence 0.8
Position notional of $7123 exceeds the maximum allowed notional of $3388 based on 22% margin commitment of $3850 equity at 4x leverage.
⊢ maxNotional=3388 exp=3388 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3388confidence 1
Max margin allowed is 22% of $3850 = $847. At 4x leverage, max notional = $847 × 4 = $3388. Desired notional of $7123 exceeds this, so not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3388 exp=3388 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 770confidence 1
The desired notional of $7123 exceeds both the house rules limit ($3388) and the hard rules limit ($770); hard rules cap a single position's notional at 20% of equity.
⊢ maxNotional=770 exp=3388 err=77.3%