← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

ETH chops sideways as traders hold their breath ahead of the inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on ETH, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data. Stand aside and wait for the print to clear before acting on the setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data. Stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
No new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release per hard rule.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing aside is mandatory regardless of the chart setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which strictly violates the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which strictly violates the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of major data releases.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.92
Hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release; CPI is 17 minutes out, so opening now is non-compliant regardless of setup quality. Stand aside and reassess after the print clears and volatility normalizes.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release. With 17 minutes to go, opening now is prohibited. Stand aside until the print clears, then reassess the setup on cleaner post-news price action.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact release; CPI is 17 minutes away. Stand aside until after the event and reassess once volatility and direction are clearer.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.98
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release; with 17 minutes remaining, the correct decision is to stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: opening a position is strictly prohibited within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release in 17 min; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand flat regardless of the setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data. No new positions allowed regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule breach: CPI release is 17 minutes away, well within the 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data. No position permitted regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat