← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Crypto desks trim risk as the dollar coils ahead of the inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on BTC, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window for high-impact data. Stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window; regardless of setup quality, I stand aside until the release passes and price action confirms.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of high-impact data. CPI is 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.1
Standing flat due to high-impact CPI release in 17 minutes, violating the 30-minute no-new-positions rule. No edge with imminent volatility.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of major data releases.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release; with only 17 minutes to the print, the only compliant action is to stand flat and wait for post-release structure to develop.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute pre-release blackout window. Policy forbids opening new positions here, so I stand aside and wait for the print and post-release price discovery before reassessing.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.99
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Preserving capital takes priority regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.99
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window. Survival first: stand aside despite the setup and reassess after the event volatility clears.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: the high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which falls strictly within the 30-minute embargo window that forbids opening new positions.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
CPI release 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release is only 17 minutes away; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute pre-release window. Hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact data releases.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away; stand flat and wait for the event to pass.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
Hard rule breach: high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute no-trade window. Standing aside is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait