← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

SOL is hovering near range highs as desks square up ahead of the print. A high-impact FOMC release is 17 minutes away on SOL, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
FOMC is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window; the setup must wait until after the print and volatility settles.
blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
FOMC print is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window for high-impact releases. Stand aside and let the volatility resolve before considering the setup.
blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rule: No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. FOMC is 17 minutes away, so standing aside is mandatory regardless of the setup.
blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falseconfidence 0
High-impact FOMC release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute blackout rule; no new positions allowed.
blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact FOMC release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact FOMC release is scheduled in 17 minutes, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a major data release. Standing aside to protect capital.
blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. FOMC is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. FOMC is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Stand aside: a high-impact FOMC release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Even with a clean setup, event risk overrides the signal.
blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0.98
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact FOMC release. Stand aside despite the clean setup and reassess after the print once volatility and direction are clearer.
blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the FOMC print is only 17 minutes away.
blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. FOMC is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside.
blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
FOMC release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute blackout rule; no new positions allowed.
blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
High-impact FOMC release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. FOMC is 17 minutes away — must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release (FOMC is 17 minutes away). Stand flat to avoid slippage and unpredictable volatility.
blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. FOMC is 17 minutes away, so standing flat regardless of setup quality.
blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
FOMC release is 17 minutes away, which is within the mandatory 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Hard rule violation if entered; standing flat regardless of setup quality.
blackout active, action=flat