← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders are squaring up ETH positions as the CPI print looms. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on ETH, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window for high-impact releases. Stand aside and reassess after the print and volatility settle.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute high-impact blackout. No new positions allowed regardless of setup quality; wait for the release and post-print structure.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Within 30-minute blackout window for CPI release; hard rule forbids new positions.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of high-impact CPI release (17 min away). Standing flat despite clean setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. Standing aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of how clean the setup looks. Position squaring by other traders also raises the risk of thin liquidity and erratic moves into the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes out, so I must stand aside regardless of how clean the setup looks. Will reassess after the print and any post-release volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 1
Do not open a new ETH position 17 minutes before a high-impact CPI release; the mandate prohibits new entries within 30 minutes of such events. Stand aside until after the print and volatility stabilizes.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Stand aside: the CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window for high-impact data. Even a clean setup is disqualified by event risk and mandate rules.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: the high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is inside the mandatory 30-minute blackout window for opening new positions.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
CPI release is 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI print is only 17 minutes away, so opening now is a compliance violation regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which falls within the mandatory 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Hard rule override—must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat