← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders are squaring up ETH positions as the CPI print looms. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on ETH, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout", "params": null }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data; stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data. No matter how clean the setup, stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of high-impact data release; CPI is 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.5
CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact events.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of taking no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release. With 17 minutes to the print, opening now is non-compliant regardless of setup quality. Stand aside and reassess after the release and the initial volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI lands in 17 minutes, so opening now is a direct mandate violation. Stand aside, let the print clear and the post-event structure form, then reassess the setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.99
A high-impact CPI release is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Stand aside despite the setup to avoid event-driven volatility and comply with the mandate.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.95
Stand aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Event risk can overwhelm the setup, so survival and mandate compliance take priority.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: no new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. With CPI 17 minutes away, I must stand aside regardless of the setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI is only 17 min away; rule prohibits new positions inside the 30-min window regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release (CPI in 17 minutes). No edge supersedes rule compliance.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The setup is rejected regardless of technical merit.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Standing flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatsize 0sizePct 0entry 0invalidation 0takeProfit 0leverage 0riskPct 0compliant falsemaxNotional 0rr 0confidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the mandatory 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Standing flat per hard rule.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat