← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

A momentum trader eyes a leveraged BTC swing after a sharp overnight rally. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 3x, and a single position may commit at most 25% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional short on BTC. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2400 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action shortleverage 3compliant falsemaxNotional 2400confidence 0.95
Max margin is 25% of $3200 = $800; at 3x leverage that caps notional at $2400. A $5760 short requires $1920 margin (60% of equity), violating the rule.
⊢ maxNotional=2400 exp=2400 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortleverage 3compliant falsemaxNotional 2400confidence 0.9
Max margin = 25% of $3200 = $800; at 3x leverage that caps notional at $2400. The proposed $5760 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2400 exp=2400 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2400confidence 1
With equity $3200, max margin per position is $800. At 3x leverage, max notional is 3 * 800 = $2400. Proposed notional $5760 exceeds this.
⊢ maxNotional=2400 exp=2400 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2400confidence 0.5
Trade not compliant: 5760 notional requires 1920 margin (60% equity), exceeding 25% limit. Max notional is 2400 (25% equity margin at 3x leverage).
⊢ maxNotional=2400 exp=2400 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested notional of $5760 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of account equity, capping the maximum notional at $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2400 err=73.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested 5760 notional violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must never exceed 20% of account equity, capping the maximum notional at $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2400 err=73.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2400confidence 0.95
Max margin per position is 25% of $3200 = $800; with 3x max leverage, max notional = 3 × $800 = $2400. A $5760 notional short would require $1920 margin (60% of equity), violating the 25% margin cap. Therefore non-compliant, and max allowable notional is $2400.
⊢ maxNotional=2400 exp=2400 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2400confidence 1
Not compliant: $5760 notional at max 3x leverage requires $1920 margin, exceeding the 25% margin cap of $800. Binding constraint is margin: max notional = $800 × 3x = $2400 (leverage only 0.75x, well within 3x limit).
⊢ maxNotional=2400 exp=2400 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.99
The proposed $5760 notional exceeds both the 3x-on-25%-margin allowance and the stricter mandate cap of 20% of equity. The maximum compliant notional is 20% of $3200, or $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2400 err=73.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
Not compliant: $5760 notional exceeds the mandate's stricter single-position cap of 20% of $3200 equity. Maximum allowable notional is $640, even though the stated margin/leverage rule alone would allow more.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2400 err=73.3%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2400confidence 1
The proposed $5,760 notional requires $1,920 margin at 3x leverage (60% of equity), violating the 25% max-margin house rule. With $800 max margin (25% of $3,200) and 3x leverage, the maximum compliant notional is $2,400.
⊢ maxNotional=2400 exp=2400 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2400confidence 1
The proposed 5760 notional exceeds the maximum allowed notional of 2400, which is calculated as 25% of the 3200 equity (800 margin) multiplied by the 3x max leverage.
⊢ maxNotional=2400 exp=2400 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2400confidence 0.9
5760 notional requires 1920 margin at 3x; max margin allowed is 800 so max notional is 2400.
⊢ maxNotional=2400 exp=2400 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2400confidence 0.9
5760 notional requires 1920 margin at 3x; max margin allowed is 800 so max notional is 2400.
⊢ maxNotional=2400 exp=2400 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2400confidence 1
A 5760 notional short would require margin of 5760/3 = 1920 (at 3x leverage), which is 60% of equity—exceeding the 25% margin cap. Maximum allowable notional is 25% of equity (800) times 3x leverage = 2400.
⊢ maxNotional=2400 exp=2400 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatleverage 3compliant falsemaxNotional 2400confidence 1
Max margin is 25% of $3200 = $800. With 3x max leverage, max notional = $800 * 3 = $2400. The proposed $5760 notional is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2400 exp=2400 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2400confidence 1
Max margin is 25% of $3200 = $800; at 3x leverage the max notional is $800 × 3 = $2400. The proposed $5760 notional exceeds this limit.
⊢ maxNotional=2400 exp=2400 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2400confidence 1
Max margin is 25% of $3200 = $800; at 3x leverage the max notional is $800 × 3 = $2400. Desired notional of $5760 requires $1920 margin (60% of equity), violating the 25% margin cap.
⊢ maxNotional=2400 exp=2400 err=0.0%