← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders trim SOL exposure as the market braces for the upcoming inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on SOL, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window; stand aside regardless of setup quality and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute high-impact window; hard rule forbids new positions. Wait for the print and let volatility settle before acting on the setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute no-trade window before data events. Standing flat is the only rule-compliant action.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of high-impact CPI release. The index is 17 minutes away. Standing aside is mandatory regardless of how clean the setup looks. Discipline protects capital.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of taking no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which strictly violates the hard rule of taking no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falseconfidence 0.97
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside and wait for the post-release volatility to resolve before considering a setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falseconfidence 0
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI prints in 17 minutes, so opening now is non-compliant regardless of how clean the setup looks. Stand aside and reassess after the release.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.99
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. The setup is invalidated by event risk regardless of how clean it looks.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatsizePct 0riskPct 0compliant trueconfidence 0.95
Stand aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window. Survival first: event risk can invalidate otherwise clean setups with slippage and volatility spikes.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule that prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact data releases.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release; the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
Hard rule violation: high-impact data release in 17 minutes (under the 30-minute threshold). The setup must be ignored; standing flat is mandatory to manage event risk.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitsize 0.46sizePct 0.08entry 172.5invalidation 169.8takeProfit 177.9leverage 3riskPct 0.94compliant falserr 2confidence 0.6
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, well within the 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data. Must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat